Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CFFNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CFFN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) operates as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank, providing retail banking products and lending services. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $225.7M in revenue with a net profit margin of 36.7%. Its shares returned 42.7% over the past year, while carrying $1.64B in total debt and yielding 4.16% in dividends.

Market cap
$1.01B
Revenue (TTM)
$225.7M
P/E
12.6x
fwd 20.4x
1Y return
42.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$9.50
16.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve month operating margin reached 50.1%, outperforming the peer median of 37.7%.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 35.6% year-over-year.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $9.50, implying a 16.3% premium over the last close of $8.17.

Bear case

  • The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4x sits substantially above the peer median of 10.8x.
  • Total debt reached $1.64B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $1.50B against $136.1M in cash.
  • The annualized dividend growth rate contracted 6.3% over the past five years.

What Capitol Federal Financial does

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. serves as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank, offering retail banking products and services across metropolitan areas in Kansas and parts of greater Kansas City. Founded in 1893 and headquartered in Topeka, Kansas, the institution provides deposit accounts such as savings, money market, checking, and certificates of deposit. Its lending operations include residential real estate loans, commercial real estate, commercial construction, and consumer financing such as vehicle loans and home equity lines of credit. The bank also invests in securities and provides mobile, telephone, and online banking alongside bill payment options and call center operations.

Growth and profitability

Capitol Federal Financial recorded $417.4M in revenue in FY2025, representing 10.0% growth over FY2024 revenue of $379.4M, after rebounding from $185.6M in FY2023. Net income improved to $68.0M in FY2025 from $38.0M in FY2024 and a net loss of -$101.7M in FY2023. Operating margin reached 19.9% in FY2025, up from 14.3% in FY2024, though down from 35.8% in FY2022. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue expanded at a compound annual growth rate of 5.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 18.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 35.6% year-over-year, supporting a trailing twelve month operating margin of 50.1%.

CFFN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Capitol Federal Financial held $136.1M in cash and short-term investments against $1.64B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.50B. Total assets stood at $9.66B compared to shareholders' equity of $1.02B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 and a current ratio of 66.42. During FY2025, the bank generated $55.0M in operating cash flow and $49.8M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $5.2M in capital expenditures, $3.9M directed to share buybacks, and $44.3M paid out in dividends.

CFFN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $8.17, Capitol Federal Financial trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6x, slightly above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4x sits well above the peer median of 10.8x. The company's price-to-sales multiple is 4.5x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.1x. Over the past year, CFFN returned 42.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. However, its five-year return of -4.7% trailed the benchmark return of 83.0%.

CFFN key metrics →

CFFN dividend

Capitol Federal Financial pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.34 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.16%. The payout ratio stands at 45.4%. The company has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years, although its five-year annualized dividend growth rate declined 6.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 7, 2026.

CFFN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 2 Hold recommendations, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $9.50 represents an upside of 16.3% over the last close of $8.17. Consensus estimates project FY2026 earnings per share of $0.69 on revenue of $235.3M, followed by FY2027 earnings per share of $0.78 on revenue of $250.7M. Over the last four quarters, the bank exceeded earnings estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

CFFN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 reflects significant leverage relative to $1.02B in shareholders' equity.
  • The stock has an elevated short interest, with short percent of float standing at 8.0%.
  • Earnings history shows variability, with the company beating consensus estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
  • The five-year stock return of -4.7% highlights longer-term underperformance compared to the broader market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CFFN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CFFN income statement, CFFN balance sheet, CFFN key metrics, CFFN analyst forecast, CFFN chart. See the CFFN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CFFN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Capitol Federal Financial's dividend yield and payout schedule?

The stock pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.34 per share, offering a dividend yield of 4.16% and a payout ratio of 45.4%.

When does Capitol Federal Financial report its next earnings?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for CFFN?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $9.50, which is 16.3% above its last close of $8.17.

How much debt does Capitol Federal Financial carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.64B in total debt and $136.1M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $1.50B.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis