CAE Inc. (CAE) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CAEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CAE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

CAE Inc. provides simulation training and operational support across civil aviation, defense and security, and healthcare markets. The company generated $4.99B in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 10.1%. While FY2026 free cash flow reached $585.2M, quarterly earnings declined 46.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$7.77B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.99B
P/E
37.7x
fwd 27.1x
1Y return
-12.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$32.72
35.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded to $585.2M in FY2026, up from $452.4M in FY2025 and -$16.9M in FY2023.
  • Consensus estimates from 14 analysts project next fiscal year EPS growth of 17.1% to reach $1.48.
  • The analyst mean price target of $32.72 represents a 35.5% premium to the closing price of $24.15.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 46.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 27.1x, which is above the US-listed Industrials median of 17.2x.
  • Total debt stood at $3.21B as of June 30, 2026, while the current ratio remained below one at 0.83.

What CAE does

CAE Inc. provides simulation training and critical operations support solutions globally across three main segments: Civil Aviation, Defense and Security, and Healthcare. The Civil Aviation segment delivers comprehensive training solutions for flight, cabin, maintenance, and ground personnel in commercial, business, and helicopter aviation sectors, including flight simulation devices and pilot training. The Defense and Security segment provides training and mission support for defense forces, OEMs, and government agencies to enhance multi-domain operations. The Healthcare segment delivers integrated education and training solutions, including interventional simulations, curricula, and patient simulators for medical schools and hospitals.

Growth and profitability

CAE delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.6% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue expanded from $3.37B in FY2022 to $4.93B in FY2026, though annual revenue growth slowed to 4.6% in FY2026. Net income recovered from -$304.0M in FY2024 to $405.3M in FY2025, before moderating to $313.9M in FY2026 with a net margin of 6.4%. Gross margin stood at 27.3% in FY2026, compared to 28.3% in FY2022. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 6.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 46.0% year-over-year.

CAE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, CAE held $568.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.21B, resulting in net debt of $2.65B. Shareholders' equity was $5.41B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 and a current ratio of 0.83. During FY2026, operating cash flow reached $873.8M and free cash flow was $585.2M. Capital expenditures totaled $288.5M, while share buybacks were $7.0M. The company reduced its share count by 5.3% over five years.

CAE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CAE trades at a trailing P/E of 37.7x and a forward P/E of 27.1x, both higher than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. The company's enterprise value is $9.76B, with an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 13.6x, compared to 13.9x for the peer group. CAE has a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x and a price-to-book ratio of 2.0x. Over the past year, CAE shares fell 12.2%, lagging the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock fell 22.9% against an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

CAE key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 5 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on CAE. The mean price target of $32.72 implies 35.5% upside over the last close of $24.15. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.27 and revenue of $5.01B. For the subsequent year, 14 analysts expect EPS to grow 17.1% to $1.48 on revenue of $5.11B. CAE beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 10, 2026.

CAE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company's current ratio of 0.83 indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt of $2.65B poses a financial leverage risk relative to cash reserves of $568.7M.
  • Annual revenue growth decelerated from 19.0% in FY2023 to 4.6% in FY2026.
  • Shares trade 10.2% below their 200-day moving average following a year-to-date return of -20.6%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CAE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of CAE Inc. (CAE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CAE income statement, CAE balance sheet, CAE key metrics, CAE analyst forecast, CAE chart. See the CAE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CAE AI stock analysis FAQ

What segments does CAE Inc. operate?

CAE operates in three primary segments: Civil Aviation, Defense and Security, and Healthcare. These units provide flight simulation training, defense operations support, and medical education solutions.

How does CAE's valuation compare to industry peers?

CAE trades at a trailing P/E of 37.7x and a forward P/E of 27.1x, higher than the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 17.2x. However, its EV-to-EBITDA of 13.6x is slightly below the peer median of 13.9x.

What is the Wall Street analyst outlook for CAE stock?

Analysts hold 11 Buy or Strong Buy ratings, 3 Holds, and 1 Strong Sell, with a mean price target of $32.72. This target represents 35.5% upside from the stock's closing price of $24.15.

When does CAE report its next financial results?

CAE is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 10, 2026, following a recent quarter in which revenue grew 6.8% to reach $4.99B in trailing twelve months revenue.

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