BGC Group, Inc (BGC) AI Stock Analysis
BGC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBGC Group, Inc (BGC) operates as a global financial brokerage and technology firm providing trade execution, connectivity, and post-trade services. The company delivered revenue of $3.01B in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.0%. Over the trailing twelve months, BGC produced $3.16B in revenue and an operating margin of 9.0%.
- Market cap
- $5.40B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.16B
- P/E
- 29.0x fwd 5.9x
- 1Y return
- 28.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.00 38.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Forward P/E is 5.9x, representing a significant discount to the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x.
- FY2025 revenue surged 36.3% to $3.01B, supported by an expanded gross margin of 89.5%.
- Consensus estimates project current fiscal year EPS to grow 20.8% to $1.43, backed by 3 earnings beats over the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Trailing P/E of 29.0x trades at a substantial premium to the peer median of 12.1x, while its PEG ratio sits elevated at 3.60.
- Total debt of $1.77B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $881.1M, yielding a current ratio of 0.83.
- The company's 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -14.0%, indicating declining payout levels over time.
What BGC does
BGC Group, Inc. is a financial brokerage and technology firm operating in the United States and internationally. The firm specializes in brokerage products across fixed income securities, including government and corporate bonds, alongside interest rate and credit derivatives, equities, energy commodities, shipping, insurance, and futures and options trading. In addition to comprehensive trade execution, BGC delivers clearing, trade compression, and other post-trade services. Its offerings emphasize electronic and hybrid brokerage solutions alongside information and back-office support for banks, broker-dealers, investment banks, trading firms, and hedge funds across over-the-counter and exchange-traded markets.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $1.99B in FY2021 to $3.01B in FY2025, rebounding from a 11.0% decline in FY2022 with subsequent gains of 11.6% in FY2023, 11.4% in FY2024, and 36.3% in FY2025. Operating margin rose from -1.7% in FY2021 to 10.5% in FY2025, while gross margin reached 89.5%. Net income grew from $124.0M in FY2021 to $155.0M in FY2025, with EPS advancing from $0.65 to $1.20. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.16B with a profit margin of 6.3%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.3% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 27.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, BGC held $881.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.77B, resulting in net debt of $892.9M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.11B against total assets of $5.75B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 and a current ratio of 0.83. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $333.9M and free cash flow reached $267.8M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $66.0M in capital expenditures, $281.5M spent on share buybacks, and $39.0M paid in dividends, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -5.9%.
Valuation and performance
BGC trades at a trailing P/E of 29.0x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. However, its forward P/E stands at 5.9x versus the peer median of 10.8x. Enterprise value stands at $6.76B, with an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 13.2x compared to the peer median of 11.7x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 1.7x against the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, BGC delivered a return of 28.4% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, while its 5-year return reached 118.7% versus 83.0% for the index.
BGC dividend
BGC offers a forward annual dividend of $0.08 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.69% and a payout ratio of 5.9%. The company has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years on a quarterly schedule, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at -14.0%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating, with no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $16.00, implying 38.1% upside from the last close of $11.59. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.46B and EPS of $1.43, representing 20.8% EPS growth. BGC beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio of 0.83 and total debt of $1.77B indicate tighter short-term liquidity relative to total obligations.
- Operating margin of 9.0% over the trailing twelve months trails well below the peer median of 37.7%.
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 8.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter, below the peer median rate of 10.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BGC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of BGC Group, Inc (BGC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BGC income statement, BGC balance sheet, BGC key metrics, BGC analyst forecast, BGC chart. See the BGC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BGC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is BGC's dividend yield and payout policy?
BGC pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $0.08, yielding 0.69% with a payout ratio of 5.9%. While it has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years, the 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -14.0%.
How does BGC's valuation compare to its financial peers?
BGC trades at a trailing P/E of 29.0x versus the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x, but its forward P/E of 5.9x is lower than the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.7x compared to the sector median of 3.2x.
What is BGC's debt profile and financial liquidity?
As of June 30, 2026, BGC held $881.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.77B, creating net debt of $892.9M. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60 and a current ratio of 0.83.
What are analysts' price targets and expectations for BGC?
The 2 covering analysts rate the stock as 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy, with a mean price target of $16.00, representing 38.1% upside from the last close of $11.59. Analysts forecast FY2026 revenue of $3.46B and EPS of $1.43.