Ball Corporation (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BALLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BALL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ball Corporation (BALL) is a global provider of aluminum packaging and aerospace technology with a market cap of $16.73B. Revenue reached $13.16B in FY2025, rebounding 11.6% after contractions in FY2023 and FY2024. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 18.0x and carries net debt of $6.73B.

Market cap
$16.73B
Revenue (TTM)
$14.33B
P/E
18.0x
fwd 13.2x
1Y return
33.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$71.57
13.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 19.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.2x, below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 15.7x.
  • Share repurchases reduced the company's share count by 18.6% over the past 5 years.

Bear case

  • Total debt stood at $7.22B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26.
  • Long-term revenue expansion has been modest, with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.3% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • Free cash flow has been uneven across recent fiscal years, dropping to -$1.37B in FY2022 and -$369.0M in FY2024.

What Ball does

Ball Corporation is a global supplier of aluminum packaging solutions for beverage, personal care, and household products. It operates through segments including Beverage Packaging in North and Central America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and South America, as well as Aerospace. The packaging business manufactures aluminum containers for carbonated soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks, alongside extruded aerosol containers, aluminum bottles, cups, and slugs. Its aerospace division designs and develops spacecraft, sensors, instruments, defense hardware, and tactical antenna solutions for civil, commercial, and national security applications, as well as satellites, remote sensors, and ground station control hardware.

Growth and profitability

Ball Corporation's revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 2.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue peaked at $15.35B in FY2022 before falling to $14.03B in FY2023 and $11.79B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 11.6% to $13.16B, while operating margin expanded to 10.6% and net income was $912.0M. FY2024 net income stood at an elevated $4.01B, producing a net margin of 34.0%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $14.33B with an operating margin of 9.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.7% year-over-year, and earnings grew 9.2%.

BALL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ball Corporation held $491.0M in cash and short-term investments against $7.22B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $6.73B. Total assets were $20.11B, shareholders' equity was $5.75B, the current ratio stood at 1.07, and debt-to-equity was 1.26. In FY2025, the company generated $1.26B in operating cash flow and $788.0M in free cash flow. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $474.0M in capital expenditures, $220.0M in dividends paid, and $1.32B used for share buybacks.

BALL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Ball Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 18.0x and a forward P/E of 13.2x, below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 20.1x and 15.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $22.30B corresponds to an EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.6x, compared to the peer group median of 13.8x. The price-to-sales ratio is 1.2x versus the peer median of 2.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 33.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of -26.0% lagged the index return of 83.0%.

BALL key metrics →

BALL dividend

Ball Corporation pays a forward annual dividend of $0.80 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 1.27% with a payout ratio of 20.5%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 42 consecutive years, reflecting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.9%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

BALL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 9 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $71.57, representing an upside of 13.2% from the last close of $63.20. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $14.92B and EPS of $4.02, representing 12.7% EPS growth. Ball Corporation beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

BALL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High net debt of $6.73B relative to cash and short-term investments of $491.0M requires steady cash flow generation.
  • Revenue contracted 8.6% in FY2023 and 15.9% in FY2024, demonstrating top-line cyclicality.
  • A current ratio of 1.07 leaves limited headroom for short-term working capital swings.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BALL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ball Corporation (BALL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BALL income statement, BALL balance sheet, BALL key metrics, BALL analyst forecast, BALL chart. See the BALL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BALL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Ball Corporation's dividend yield and payout policy?

Ball Corporation offers a forward dividend yield of 1.27% based on an annual dividend of $0.80 per share. Its payout ratio is 20.5%, and the company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years.

How much debt does Ball Corporation have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $7.22B in total debt and $491.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $6.73B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26.

What are analysts forecasting for BALL's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.02 and revenue of $14.92B. For FY2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.52 and revenue of $15.55B across 15 analysts.

When does Ball Corporation report its next quarterly earnings?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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