Greif, Inc. (GEF-B) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GEF-BAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GEF-B AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Greif, Inc. produces industrial packaging solutions, paper packaging, and manages timberland. The company generated $4.30B in trailing twelve month revenue and delivered net income of $840.0M in FY2025. Its Class B shares have risen 90.1% over the past year, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 33.4x.

Market cap
$4.19B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.30B
P/E
33.4x
fwd 7.4x
1Y return
90.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$93.00
-15.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings increased 43.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending April 30, 2026.
  • The forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4x is lower than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.
  • Greif has paid dividends for 31 consecutive years, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.6%.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow fell to -$85.2M in FY2025 as operating cash flow dropped to $58.6M.
  • The consensus analyst mean price target of $93.00 sits 15.9% below the last closing price of $110.64.
  • Short interest stands at 135.8% of the public float.

What Greif does

Greif, Inc., headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, operates globally as a producer and distributor of industrial packaging solutions. The company is structured into three key segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Its Global Industrial Packaging segment manufactures steel, fiber, and plastic drums, alongside rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers for industries including chemicals, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and agriculture. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces containerboards, corrugated sheets, containers, and recycled paperboard for packaging, automotive, and building markets. Its Land Management segment oversees timber harvesting and regeneration across approximately 175,000 acres in the southeastern United States.

Growth and profitability

Greif's revenue declined from $5.56B in FY2021 to $4.29B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.0%. Annual revenue fell 17.8% in FY2023, 17.0% in FY2024, and 1.0% in FY2025. Despite lower revenue, gross margin expanded to 22.2% in FY2025, and net income increased to $840.0M, compared to $266.0M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended April 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 43.4%. Trailing twelve month operating margin stood at 10.6% on revenue of $4.30B.

GEF-B income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of April 30, 2026, Greif held $288.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.23B, leaving net debt at $945.1M. Shareholders' equity was $3.00B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 and a current ratio of 1.29. In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to $58.6M, resulting in free cash flow of -$85.2M after capital expenditures of $143.8M. Cash outlays during FY2025 also included $101.1M in dividends paid and $8.1M spent on share buybacks.

GEF-B balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Greif trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33.4x, which stands above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. On a forward basis, its price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4x is below the peer median of 14.1x. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 8.6x, compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 90.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year horizon, the stock returned 116.6% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

GEF-B key metrics →

GEF-B dividend

Greif pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $3.53 per share, yielding 3.19% with a payout ratio of 48.7%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 31 years and generated an annualized dividend growth rate of 4.6% over the past 5 years. Its last ex-dividend date was September 17, 2026.

GEF-B dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $93.00 for Greif, representing a 15.9% decline from its last close of $110.64. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.33B and EPS of $6.38, reflecting 113.4% EPS growth. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 3 times. Two analysts cover the following fiscal year, projecting revenue of $4.44B and EPS of $7.13.

GEF-B forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue contracted over multiple years, showing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.0% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$85.2M in FY2025, which could pressure cash allocations if operations do not rebound.
  • Total debt of $1.23B exceeds the cash balance of $288.5M, leaving net debt at $945.1M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GEF-B AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Greif, Inc. (GEF-B). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GEF-B income statement, GEF-B balance sheet, GEF-B key metrics, GEF-B analyst forecast, GEF-B chart. See the GEF-B stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GEF-B AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Greif's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Greif pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $3.53 per share, representing a 3.19% dividend yield. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 31 years.

How did Greif perform in its most recent fiscal year?

In FY2025, Greif generated $4.29B in revenue, which was down 1.0% year-over-year, and net income of $840.0M. Operating cash flow came in at $58.6M, resulting in free cash flow of -$85.2M after capital expenditures.

What do analysts forecast for Greif's stock price and earnings?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $93.00, which is 15.9% lower than the last close of $110.64. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate EPS of $6.38 on revenue of $4.33B.

What is Greif's balance sheet position?

As of April 30, 2026, Greif reported $288.5M in cash and short-term investments against $1.23B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $945.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41.

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