Azul S.A. (AZUL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AZULAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AZUL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Azul S.A. is a major Brazilian airline providing passenger and cargo transportation services across Brazil. While revenue expanded to $21.64B in FY2025 and reached $21.75B on a trailing twelve months basis, profitability has fluctuated significantly, showing a net income of $124.9M in FY2025 following several years of substantial net losses. The company faces balance sheet challenges, highlighted by total debt of $21.38B and negative shareholders' equity of -$5.15B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$1.20B
Revenue (TTM)
$21.75B
P/E
—
fwd 14.0x
1Y return
—
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$11.06
68.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue increased at a 5-year CAGR of 30.4% from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $21.64B.
  • Analyst estimates project EPS to recover to $1.10 next fiscal year, representing 182.6% growth.
  • The 1 analyst covering the company has a mean price target of $11.06, which sits 68.9% above the last close of $6.55.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $21.38B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$5.15B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Operating cash flow and free cash flow turned negative in FY2025, landing at -$1.21B and -$1.40B, respectively.
  • Azul posted significant net losses over four consecutive years, including a loss of -$9.15B in FY2024.

What Azul does

Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, offers passenger and cargo transportation services throughout Brazil. Founded in 2008 and based in Barueri, Brazil, the company operated 850 daily departures serving 125 destinations across 259 non-stop routes with an aircraft fleet of 179 by the end of 2021. Beyond core passenger and cargo transit, Azul provides related ancillary services, such as loyalty programs, travel packages, logistics solutions, investment fund options, and aircraft financing to support both leisure and corporate travelers.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Azul achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.4%, lifting annual revenue from $9.98B in FY2021 to $21.64B in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 18.1% in FY2021 to 28.5% in FY2025, while operating margin rose to 20.0%. After reporting net losses of -$4.21B in FY2021, -$722.4M in FY2022, -$2.38B in FY2023, and -$9.15B in FY2024, the airline generated net income of $124.9M in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $21.75B with a profit margin of 7.5%, an operating margin of -8.9%, and quarterly year-over-year revenue growth of 0.7%.

AZUL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Azul held $1.27B in cash and short-term investments against $21.38B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $20.12B. The company operates with negative shareholders' equity of -$5.15B and a current ratio of 0.42 against total assets of $30.74B. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$1.21B and free cash flow was -$1.40B. Cash uses during FY2025 included $194.5M in capital expenditures and $3,921 spent on share buybacks, while the share count grew 36.2% over five years.

AZUL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Azul closed at $6.55 on October 16, 2026, within a 52-week range of $1.10 to $14.00, yielding a market capitalization of $1.20B and enterprise value of $5.14B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 14.0x, a price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x, and an EV/EBITDA of 4.3x. These levels compare to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, which post a forward P/E of 17.2x, price-to-sales of 1.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 13.9x. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% over 1 year and 83.0% over 5 years.

AZUL key metrics →

AZUL dividend

Azul has an annual forward dividend of $0.07 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.05%. The stock's last ex-dividend date occurred on May 22, 2026.

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy rating, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $11.06, reflecting a 68.9% premium over the last close of $6.55. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of -$1.33 and revenue of $22.18B. For the next fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $23.85B, representing 7.5% growth, and EPS of $1.10, representing 182.6% EPS growth.

AZUL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short-term liquidity is constrained, indicated by a current ratio of 0.42 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company's net debt position of $20.12B significantly exceeds its market capitalization of $1.20B.
  • Operating margin turned to -8.9% over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026.
  • Azul's 5-year share count expansion of 36.2% reflects substantial equity dilution.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AZUL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Azul S.A. (AZUL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AZUL income statement, AZUL balance sheet, AZUL key metrics, AZUL analyst forecast, AZUL chart. See the AZUL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AZUL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Azul's core business?

Azul S.A. operates passenger and cargo air transportation services across Brazil, complemented by loyalty programs, travel packages, and logistics solutions.

What is Azul's debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Azul reported total debt of $21.38B and cash and short-term investments of $1.27B, resulting in net debt of $20.12B.

Does Azul pay a dividend?

Yes, Azul pays an annual forward dividend of $0.07 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 1.05%.

What are analysts forecasting for Azul's earnings?

Analysts project an EPS of -$1.33 for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, improving to an estimated EPS of $1.10 for the following fiscal year.

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