Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) AI Stock Analysis
DAL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDelta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) is a global passenger and cargo airline operating across domestic and international networks. In FY2025, the carrier generated $63.36B in revenue and $5.00B in net income, while delivering $3.84B in free cash flow. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $71.80B, though quarterly earnings contracted 47.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $49.59B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $71.80B
- P/E
- 15.0x fwd 9.2x
- 1Y return
- 26.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $101.07 34.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual free cash flow expanded to $3.84B in FY2025, up from $2.88B in FY2024.
- Delta trades at a forward P/E of 9.2x, well below the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 20.7x.
- Wall Street analysts project FY2027 earnings per share to grow 44.9% to $7.33.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings dropped 47.0% year-over-year in the three months ended September 30, 2026.
- Total debt stood at $18.84B against $3.79B in cash as of September 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $15.05B.
- Current ratio was 0.40 at the end of the latest quarter, indicating short-term liquidity constraints.
What Delta Air Lines does
Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo across the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Airline and Refinery. Delta maintains domestic hubs in Atlanta, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Detroit, and Salt Lake City, alongside coastal hubs in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle. International operations feature major hubs in Amsterdam, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, and Seoul-Incheon. With a fleet of approximately 1,200 aircraft, Delta sells tickets through direct and indirect channels, offers vacation packages, charters aircraft, and delivers aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services.
Growth and profitability
Delta grew revenue at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 30.0% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $29.90B in FY2021 to $50.58B in FY2022, $58.05B in FY2023, $61.64B in FY2024, and $63.36B in FY2025. Operating margin was 6.3% in FY2021, rose to 9.7% in FY2024, and settled at 9.2% in FY2025. Net income increased from $280.0M in FY2021 to $5.00B in FY2025, producing diluted EPS of $5.82. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $71.80B with an operating margin of 7.2%. For the quarter ended September 30, 2026, revenue increased 21.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 47.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Delta held $3.79B in cash and short-term investments against $18.84B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $15.05B. Shareholders' equity was $22.51B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 and a current ratio of 0.40. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $8.34B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $4.50B in capital expenditures, leaving $3.84B in free cash flow, alongside $440.0M returned to shareholders via dividends.
Valuation and performance
At $75.37, Delta trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and a forward P/E of 9.2x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. The company's price-to-sales multiple of 0.7x and EV/to-EBITDA ratio of 11.9x also sit below the peer medians of 3.3x and 17.7x. Over the past year, Delta gained 26.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, Delta returned 91.0% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
DAL dividend
Delta pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annualized payout of $0.86 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.14%. The company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.9%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 11.2%, and the last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 19 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $101.07, representing a 34.1% upside from the last close of $75.37. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.41 on revenue of $74.93B. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts project EPS of $7.33, up 44.9%, on revenue of $77.26B. Delta has exceeded consensus EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- Delta carries $18.84B in total debt and an operating margin of 7.2%, which trails the peer median of 17.9%.
- Short-term obligations exceed liquid assets, as reflected by a current ratio of 0.40 as of September 30, 2026.
- Earnings execution has been mixed, with the company beating consensus EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- High capital requirements persisted in FY2025, when capital expenditures consumed $4.50B of operating cash flow.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DAL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DAL income statement, DAL balance sheet, DAL key metrics, DAL analyst forecast, DAL chart. See the DAL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DAL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Delta Air Lines' dividend yield and payout ratio?
Delta offers a forward dividend yield of 1.14% based on an annualized payout of $0.86 per share. The payout ratio is 11.2%, and the company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years.
How does Delta's valuation compare to industry peers?
Delta trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and an EV/to-EBITDA of 11.9x. These figures are lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers, which post 28.5x and 17.7x, respectively.
What are Delta's revenue and earnings expectations?
Analysts forecast FY2026 revenue of $74.93B and EPS of $5.41. For FY2027, expectations rise to $77.26B in revenue and $7.33 in EPS, which reflects a 44.9% projected earnings rebound.
What is the condition of Delta's balance sheet?
As of September 30, 2026, Delta held $3.79B in cash and short-term investments against $18.84B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $15.05B and a current ratio of 0.40.