Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AXONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AXON AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) develops and manufactures conducted energy devices, body-worn cameras, and cloud software for law enforcement agencies. Revenue rose from $863.4M in FY2021 to $2.78B in FY2025, marking a 5-year revenue CAGR of 32.5%. However, operating margin fell to -2.2% in FY2025, and trailing twelve months net profit margin stands at 6.2%.

Market cap
$31.71B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.22B
P/E
161.9x
fwd 58.1x
1Y return
-40.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$690.68
77.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 32.5% between FY2020 and FY2025, reaching $2.78B.
  • Quarterly revenue growth remained elevated at 35.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The analyst mean price target of $690.68 represents 77.0% upside relative to the $390.29 closing price.

Bear case

  • Operating margin turned negative to -2.2% in FY2025 following a rise in research and development expenses to $684.3M.
  • Axon trades at an EV/EBITDA of 94.7x, well above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 19.9x.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 18.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.

What Axon does

Axon Enterprise, Inc. specializes in the development, manufacturing, and global distribution of conducted energy devices under the TASER brand. The company operates through two core segments: Software and Sensors, and TASER. Its product portfolio features non-lethal hardware including the TASER 7, TASER X26P, TASER X2, and TASER Consumer devices, alongside on-officer body cameras and Axon Fleet in-car video systems. Axon also provides digital evidence management via its Axon Evidence software-as-a-service platform, Axon Signal enabled devices, and real-time situational awareness integrations through strategic collaborations such as its partnership with Fusus, Inc.

Growth and profitability

Axon grew annual revenue from $863.4M in FY2021 to $1.19B in FY2022, $1.56B in FY2023, $2.08B in FY2024, and $2.78B in FY2025, reflecting 33.5% revenue growth in FY2025. Gross margin moved from 61.5% in FY2021 to 59.7% in FY2025. Operating margin swung from -19.3% in FY2021 to a high of 10.2% in FY2023 before landing at -2.2% in FY2025 as research and development expenses reached $684.3M. Net income totaled $124.9M in FY2025, down from $377.0M in FY2024. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 35.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 18.2%.

AXON income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Axon held $692.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.83B, resulting in net debt of $1.14B. Total assets stood at $7.48B and shareholders' equity was $3.67B. Liquidity was supported by a current ratio of 2.15, alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $211.3M and free cash flow was $75.1M, with capital expenditures totaling $136.3M. Share count increased 19.1% over five years.

AXON balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Axon closed at $390.29 on October 16, 2026, giving the company a market cap of $31.71B and an enterprise value of $38.45B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 161.9x and a forward P/E of 58.1x, above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 22.2x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 9.8x and EV/EBITDA of 94.7x also compare to peer medians of 6.1x and 19.9x. Over the trailing 1-year period, Axon declined 40.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%.

AXON key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 10 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on Axon, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $690.68, representing 77.0% upside compared to the last close of $390.29. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.70B and EPS of $7.65. Axon topped EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings next on November 3, 2026.

AXON forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The balance sheet carries net debt of $1.14B, with total debt of $1.83B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $329.5M in FY2024 to $75.1M in FY2025.
  • The stock displays higher volatility than the broader market, evidenced by a beta of 1.44 and a 1-year return of -40.2%.
  • Share count expanded 19.1% over five years, representing shareholder dilution.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AXON AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AXON income statement, AXON balance sheet, AXON key metrics, AXON analyst forecast, AXON chart. See the AXON stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AXON AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Axon's revenue in FY2025?

Axon reported revenue of $2.78B in FY2025, reflecting a 33.5% increase over FY2024. Over the five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a compound annual growth rate of 32.5%.

Does Axon pay a dividend?

Axon does not pay a dividend. The company directs cash flow into operations and investments, including $136.3M in capital expenditures in FY2025.

How do Axon's valuation multiples compare to peers?

Axon trades at a forward P/E of 58.1x and a price-to-sales ratio of 9.8x. These compare to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 22.2x and 6.1x, respectively.

When does Axon report earnings next?

Axon's next earnings date is November 3, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.65 and revenue of $3.70B.

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