Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB) AI Stock Analysis
AUB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB) is a regional bank holding company with $38.10B in total assets and a market capitalization of $5.44B. In FY2025, annual revenue reached $2.03B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 21.0% from FY2020. The company offers a 3.88% forward dividend yield with 33 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Market cap
- $5.44B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.51B
- P/E
- 11.3x fwd 9.1x
- 1Y return
- 20.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $47.12 23.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings grew 834.8% year-over-year for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.1x, below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
- Analysts hold an average price target of $47.12, indicating upside of 23.7% from the last close of $38.11.
Bear case
- Annual free cash flow declined from $328.4M in FY2021 to $85.4M in FY2025.
- The 5-year return of 22.8% significantly lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- The 5-year share count change expanded by 87.8% following $385.0M in share issuance during FY2025.
What Atlantic Union Bankshares does
Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank. Operating through Wholesale Banking and Consumer Banking segments, the company provides deposit services such as checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts. Its lending activities include commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer loans. Additionally, it offers treasury management, capital markets, wealth management, private banking, trust, financial planning, brokerage, equipment finance, and insurance services across branch networks, ATMs, and digital platforms.
Growth and profitability
Atlantic Union Bankshares expanded revenue from $711.2M in FY2021 to $2.03B in FY2025, representing 51.1% revenue growth in FY2025. Annual net income moved from $263.9M in FY2021 to $273.7M in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 44.8% to 16.6% over the same span. Diluted EPS was $3.33 in FY2025 compared to $3.52 in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.51B with an operating margin of 56.1% and a profit margin of 32.3%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 35.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 834.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $990.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.73B, resulting in net debt of $735.4M. Shareholders' equity was $5.15B against total assets of $38.10B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 and a current ratio of 0.03. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $97.8M and free cash flow was $85.4M after capital expenditures of $12.4M. Cash usage included $192.1M in dividends paid, alongside $385.0M from share issuance.
Valuation and performance
AUB trades at a trailing P/E of 11.3x and a forward P/E of 9.1x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.6x is above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 20.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, AUB delivered a 22.8% return, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
AUB dividend
AUB pays a forward annual dividend of $1.48 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.88% and a payout ratio of 40.7%. The dividend is distributed quarterly, supported by 33 consecutive years of payments. The annualized 5-year dividend growth rate stands at 6.8%, and the company's last ex-dividend date occurred on August 7, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $47.12, representing a 23.7% premium over the last close of $38.11. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.56B and EPS of $3.76, indicating 9.4% EPS growth. AUB beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 20, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt stands at $735.4M with total debt of $1.73B as of June 30, 2026.
- Annual operating margin contracted from 44.8% in FY2021 to 16.6% in FY2025.
- Short interest accounts for 7.3% of the company's float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AUB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AUB income statement, AUB balance sheet, AUB key metrics, AUB analyst forecast, AUB chart. See the AUB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AUB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is the dividend yield for Atlantic Union Bankshares?
AUB offers a forward dividend yield of 3.88%, paying an annual dividend of $1.48 per share. The company has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years.
How did AUB perform in its most recent quarter?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 35.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 834.8%.
What are analysts forecasting for AUB's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $3.76 on revenue of $1.56B for FY2026, followed by EPS of $4.03 on revenue of $1.61B for FY2027. The consensus price target is $47.12.
How does AUB's valuation compare to its peer group?
AUB trades at a trailing P/E of 11.3x and forward P/E of 9.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x among US-listed Financial Services peers.