Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AROWAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AROW AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW) is a regional bank holding company based in Glens Falls, New York, with a market capitalization of $682.6M. Over the trailing twelve months, the company produced $170.2M in revenue alongside a net profit margin of 30.1% and diluted EPS of $3.10. Its shares rose 46.4% over the past year while supporting an annualized dividend yield of 3.25%.

Market cap
$682.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$170.2M
P/E
11.9x
fwd 13.0x
1Y return
46.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$43.50
18.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Arrow Financial yields 3.25% backed by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments and a payout ratio of 37.3%.
  • The stock posted a 1-year return of 46.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Consensus estimates project FY2026 EPS of $3.51, reflecting estimated annual earnings growth of 28.0%.

Bear case

  • Arrow Financial's forward P/E of 13.0x trades above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • Trailing twelve-month revenue of $170.2M is lower than the $242.6M generated in FY2025.
  • Over the past 5 years, the stock returned 32.6%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What Arrow Financial does

Established in 1851 and headquartered in Glens Falls, New York, Arrow Financial Corporation is a bank holding company operating primarily in northeastern New York State. The company provides commercial and consumer banking services, offering deposit products such as demand deposits and time deposits, alongside commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer installment loans. In addition to core banking, Arrow Financial provides retirement planning, trust and estate administration, insurance agency offerings, and investment advisory services. The institution has also integrated cryptocurrency offerings into its financial product lineup to serve evolving demand for digital asset services.

Growth and profitability

From FY2021 to FY2025, Arrow Financial expanded revenue from $147.9M to $242.6M, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.9%. Annual net income moved from $49.9M in FY2021 to $29.7M in FY2024 before rising to $44.0M in FY2025, when net margin reached 18.1%. Operating margin was 22.8% in FY2025, compared to 43.5% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $170.2M with an operating margin of 34.7% and EPS of $3.10. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 1.5%.

AROW income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Arrow Financial held $30.9M in cash and short-term investments against total assets of $4.48B. Total debt stood at $335.1M, resulting in net debt of $304.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 relative to $446.3M in shareholders' equity. The current ratio was 0.01. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $41.3M and free cash flow reached $36.2M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $5.1M for capital expenditures, $10.2M for share buybacks, and $18.9M in dividends paid.

AROW balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Arrow Financial trades at a trailing P/E of 11.9x, slightly below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 13.0x sits above the peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-sales ratio of 4.0x is higher than the peer median of 3.2x. The stock carries a price-to-book ratio of 1.6x and a PEG ratio of 2.84. Over the past year, AROW gained 46.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 32.6% lagged the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.

AROW key metrics →

AROW dividend

Arrow Financial pays a forward annual dividend of $1.20 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.25% based on its last close of $36.85. The company distributes payments quarterly and has maintained 42 consecutive years of dividend payments. Its payout ratio is 37.3%, and its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 4.1%. The last ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026.

AROW dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 2 Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $43.50, indicating an 18.0% premium over the last close of $36.85. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus forecasts estimate revenue of $206.3M and EPS of $3.51, representing 28.0% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

AROW forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company holds net debt of $304.2M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 and $30.9M in cash.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 4.6% in the latest quarter was below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.1%.
  • The stock has a PEG ratio of 2.84, indicating a premium valuation relative to growth expectations.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AROW AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AROW income statement, AROW balance sheet, AROW key metrics, AROW analyst forecast, AROW chart. See the AROW stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AROW AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Arrow Financial Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes, Arrow Financial pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.20 per share annually, which equals a 3.25% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 37.3%.

What is the consensus analyst target for AROW stock?

The mean analyst price target is $43.50, which is 18.0% above the last closing price of $36.85. The stock has 2 Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings.

When is Arrow Financial's next earnings report?

Arrow Financial is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the trailing 4 quarters.

What does Arrow Financial's debt profile look like?

As of June 30, 2026, Arrow Financial had total debt of $335.1M and cash of $30.9M, leaving net debt at $304.2M. This equates to a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 against $446.3M in shareholders' equity.

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