Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AMRCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AMRC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) is an engineering and clean technology integrator providing energy efficiency and renewable energy solutions. Across the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.02B in revenue with a net profit margin of 1.4%. The company carries balance sheet leverage, with $2.02B in total debt against $138.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$1.03B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.02B
P/E
36.8x
fwd 13.9x
1Y return
-54.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$41.40
112.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts project EPS to grow 36.4% in the current fiscal year to $1.23 and an additional 34.4% in the next fiscal year to $1.65.
  • The stock forward P/E of 13.9x trades below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $41.40, reflecting an implied upside of 112.3% over the $19.50 closing price.

Bear case

  • Ameresco carries substantial leverage with total debt of $2.02B compared to $138.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow remained negative at -$436.4M in FY2025 alongside an operating cash flow deficit of -$80.4M.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 25.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, and annual net margin slipped to 2.3% in FY2025.

What Ameresco does

Ameresco, Inc. is a clean technology integrator delivering energy efficiency and renewable energy solutions across the United States, Canada, and globally. The company operates through segments including U.S. Regions, U.S. Federal, Canada, and Alternative Fuels. It designs, develops, and implements projects to reduce energy consumption, upgrading building systems like heating, ventilation, cooling, and lighting. Ameresco also develops, constructs, and operates small-scale renewable energy plants generating electricity, gas, heat, or cooling, alongside offering operations and maintenance services. Additionally, the company sells and installs photovoltaic solar systems, provides consulting services, and delivers enterprise energy management solutions.

Growth and profitability

Ameresco achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 13.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. Revenue rose from $1.22B in FY2021 to $1.82B in FY2022, declined 24.7% to $1.37B in FY2023, and rebounded to $1.77B in FY2024 and $1.93B in FY2025. Net income decreased from $70.5M in FY2021 to $44.3M in FY2025, with net margins contracting from 5.8% to 2.3%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.02B and operating margin stood at 8.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 25.0%.

AMRC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ameresco held $138.3M in cash and short-term investments against $2.02B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.88B. The company reported total assets of $4.83B and shareholders' equity of $1.35B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50 and a current ratio of 1.67. Free cash flow was -$436.4M in FY2025, driven by capital expenditures of $356.0M and operating cash flow of -$80.4M. Over five years, the share count grew by 1.5%.

AMRC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $19.50 on October 16, 2026, Ameresco holds a market cap of $1.03B and an enterprise value of $3.09B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 36.8x, above the 24.8x median of US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 13.9x sits below the peer median of 17.2x. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 11.9x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. Over the past year, AMRC shares fell 54.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

AMRC key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts issue 7 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings on Ameresco, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $41.40, indicating upside of 112.3% from the last close of $19.50. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $2.13B and EPS of $1.23, representing 36.4% earnings growth. Over the last four quarters, Ameresco beat EPS estimates 2 times. The company's next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

AMRC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50 and net debt of $1.88B leave it exposed to high financing obligations.
  • Elevated stock volatility is underscored by a beta of 2.62 and a 54.2% share price drop over the past 12 months.
  • Short interest represents 19.4% of the float, reflecting significant bearish sentiment among market participants.
  • Ameresco has recorded persistent free cash flow deficits, including -$436.4M in FY2025 and -$320.7M in FY2024.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AMRC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AMRC income statement, AMRC balance sheet, AMRC key metrics, AMRC analyst forecast, AMRC chart. See the AMRC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AMRC AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Ameresco pay a dividend?

Ameresco does not pay a dividend, and capital is primarily directed toward project deployment and capital expenditures, which totaled $356.0M in FY2025.

What was Ameresco's revenue growth in the most recent fiscal year?

In FY2025, Ameresco generated revenue of $1.93B, representing an increase of 9.2% from $1.77B in FY2024.

How much debt does Ameresco have on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Ameresco reported $2.02B in total debt and $138.3M in cash and short-term investments, which results in net debt of $1.88B.

What do analysts expect for Ameresco's upcoming earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.23 on revenue of $2.13B, with the next earnings announcement scheduled for November 9, 2026.

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