Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) AI Stock Analysis
AM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAntero Midstream Corporation operates midstream gathering, processing, and water infrastructure primarily serving Appalachian Basin production. Revenue has grown at a 5-year CAGR of 5.3% to $1.26B in FY2025, yielding $770.2M in free cash flow. While the company provides an annual dividend yield of 4.36%, its balance sheet carries $3.61B in net debt with no cash reserves.
- Market cap
- $9.80B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.31B
- P/E
- 24.9x fwd 12.9x
- 1Y return
- 20.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $24.00 16.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow grew to $770.2M in FY2025, supported by strong operating cash flow of $932.5M.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin is robust at 52.0%, well above the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.
- Consensus estimates anticipate FY2026 EPS of $1.39, representing 23.7% earnings growth over the prior fiscal year.
Bear case
- The company reported $0 in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, against $3.61B in total debt.
- Valuation multiples trade at a premium to US-listed Energy peers, including an EV/EBITDA of 14.1x versus the 8.0x peer median.
- The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -6.1%, alongside a high dividend payout ratio of 83.3%.
What Antero Midstream does
Antero Midstream Corporation is an oil and gas midstream infrastructure company operating within the Appalachian Basin. Established in 2013 and based in Denver, Colorado, the company is organized into two primary segments: Gathering and Processing, and Water Handling. Gathering and Processing maintains an extensive network of pipelines and compressor stations in West Virginia and Ohio to gather and process hydrocarbons from Antero Resources' wells. The Water Handling segment sources fresh water from local reservoirs and the Ohio River, while managing flowback and produced water through pumping stations, storage facilities, and blending systems to support upstream operations.
Growth and profitability
Antero Midstream grew revenue from $968.9M in FY2021 to $1.26B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.3%. Operating margins were 57.3% in FY2021 and 51.2% in FY2025, while gross margin held at 65.3% in both FY2021 and FY2025. Annual net income climbed from $331.6M to $413.2M over the same timeframe, leading to EPS expansion from $0.82 to $1.12. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.31B with an operating margin of 52.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 8.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 8.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $0 in cash and short-term investments alongside $3.61B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.61B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86. Total assets stood at $6.36B against shareholders' equity of $1.95B, with a current ratio of 0.84. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated $932.5M and free cash flow totaled $770.2M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $162.3M for capital expenditures, $439.0M paid in dividends, and $135.0M directed toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Antero Midstream carries a trailing P/E of 24.9x, above the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its forward P/E of 12.9x compares to the peer median of 12.7x, while its EV/EBITDA stands at 14.1x versus the peer median of 8.0x. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 7.5x compared to the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, AM stock gained 20.2%, outpacing the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, the stock returned 155.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
AM dividend
The company pays a forward annual dividend of $0.90 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 4.36% with an 83.3% payout ratio. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly schedule and have been paid for 10 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the annualized dividend growth rate was -6.1%. The last ex-dividend date is October 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buys, 6 Holds, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target is $24.00, representing 16.3% upside compared to the last close of $20.64. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.34B and EPS of $1.39, indicating 23.7% earnings growth. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Liquidity risk is highlighted by a current ratio of 0.84 and $0 in cash against $3.61B in net debt.
- Earnings showed near-term volatility with an 8.0% year-over-year decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Execution track record shows only 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters.
- A high dividend payout ratio of 83.3% leaves limited margin of safety if cash flow diminishes.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Antero Midstream Corporation (AM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AM income statement, AM balance sheet, AM key metrics, AM analyst forecast, AM chart. See the AM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Antero Midstream's current dividend yield?
Antero Midstream offers a forward dividend yield of 4.36%, which corresponds to an annual forward payout of $0.90 per share paid quarterly.
How much debt does Antero Midstream have?
As of June 30, 2026, Antero Midstream carried $3.61B in total debt and $0 in cash, resulting in net debt of $3.61B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86.
What is the consensus analyst price target for AM stock?
The mean analyst price target is $24.00, indicating an upside of 16.3% from the last close price of $20.64.
When is Antero Midstream's next earnings report?
The next scheduled earnings date for Antero Midstream is October 28, 2026.