Aeluma, Inc (ALMU) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ALMUAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ALMU AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) is a semiconductor company developing photonic and electronic technologies for communications and sensing. In FY2026, revenue fell 4.4% to $4.5M, with net income of -$9.2M. The company maintains a strong liquidity position, holding $56.0M in cash and short-term investments against $2.0M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$153.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$4.5M
P/E
—
1Y return
-57.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$23.50
195.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Aeluma maintains $56.0M in cash and short-term investments against $2.0M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst estimates model revenue expanding 443.0% to $18.9M for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2028.
  • Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $23.50, which is 195.6% above the last closing price of $7.95.

Bear case

  • Revenue declined 4.4% in FY2026 to $4.5M, while quarterly revenue fell 55.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company's net losses widened to -$9.2M in FY2026, alongside negative free cash flow of -$3.3M.
  • Shares trade at a price-to-sales ratio of 34.4x, significantly higher than the 2.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers.

What Aeluma does

Aeluma, Inc. develops photonic and electronic technologies for communications and sensing in the United States. Founded in 2019 and based in Goleta, California, the company develops photodetectors, photodetector arrays, lasers, optical amplifiers, and related components. Its products serve applications across telecom, artificial intelligence, datacom, mobile, defense and aerospace, robotics, automotive, augmented reality/virtual reality, and quantum technologies.

Growth and profitability

Aeluma grew annual revenue from $193,339 in FY2023 to $919,000 in FY2024 and $4.7M in FY2025, before revenue fell 4.4% to $4.5M in FY2026. Across those three years, revenue generated a CAGR of 184.7%. Gross margin narrowed from 59.6% in FY2025 to 35.2% in FY2026. Operating margin stood at -228.3% in FY2026 as research and development expenses rose to $4.7M. Net income worsened to -$9.2M in FY2026 from -$3.0M in FY2025, resulting in an EPS of -$0.33. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue dropped 55.8% year-over-year.

ALMU income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aeluma held $56.0M in cash and short-term investments and $2.0M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $54.0M. The company reported a current ratio of 30.32 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04. In FY2026, operating cash flow was -$3.3M and free cash flow was -$3.3M. Cash usage during FY2026 included $646,000 in capital expenditures and $112,000 in share buybacks, while share count increased 65.9% over five years.

ALMU balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $7.95 on October 16, 2026, Aeluma trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 34.4x and an enterprise-value-to-revenue multiple of 44.9x. These multiples stand well above the median of its US-listed Technology peers, which shows a price-to-sales ratio of 2.8x. Over the past year, the stock fell 57.6%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. The shares trade 54.1% below their 200-day average.

ALMU key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings, with zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $23.50, representing a 195.6% premium over the last close of $7.95. For the current fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.5M and an EPS of -$0.59. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $18.9M and an EPS of -$0.58. Over the last four quarters, Aeluma beat EPS estimates once.

ALMU forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 25.9% of the float, indicating substantial market skepticism.
  • Operating margin reached -228.3% in FY2026 as annual research and development expenses climbed to $4.7M.
  • The company beat EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • The stock has dropped 53.7% year-to-date and sits near its 52-week low of $7.59.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ALMU AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aeluma, Inc (ALMU). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ALMU income statement, ALMU balance sheet, ALMU key metrics, ALMU analyst forecast, ALMU chart. See the ALMU stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ALMU AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Aeluma pay a dividend?

Aeluma does not pay a dividend.

What is Aeluma's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Aeluma reported $56.0M in cash and short-term investments and $2.0M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $54.0M.

What do analysts forecast for Aeluma's revenue?

Consensus estimates project revenue of $3.5M for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, followed by $18.9M for the next fiscal year.

How has Aeluma stock performed compared to the broader market?

Aeluma returned -57.6% over the past year through October 16, 2026, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%.

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