Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) AI Stock Analysis
ALG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAlamo Group Inc. designs and manufactures equipment for vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $1.66B with an operating margin of 10.2%, while full-year revenue contracted 1.5% in FY2025. The company maintains a conservative balance sheet with a 0.23 debt-to-equity ratio.
- Market cap
- $1.83B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.66B
- P/E
- 18.1x fwd 13.8x
- 1Y return
- -17.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $204.80 35.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Alamo Group's forward P/E of 13.8x trades at a discount to the US-listed Industrials median of 17.2x.
- The balance sheet is conservatively financed with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 and a current ratio of 4.39.
- Analysts forecast EPS growth of 12.4% in FY2026 to $10.53 and an additional 15.7% to $12.18 in FY2027.
Bear case
- Revenue fell for two consecutive years, dropping 3.6% in FY2024 and 1.5% in FY2025.
- The stock has lagged broader markets with a 1-year return of -17.4% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
- Earnings growth weakened in the most recent quarter ending June 30, 2026, falling 0.8% year-over-year.
What Alamo does
Alamo Group Inc. designs, manufactures, distributes, and services equipment for vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance across governmental, industrial, and agricultural markets. The company operates through two segments: Vegetation Management and Industrial Equipment. Its Vegetation Management Division provides hydraulically powered equipment such as tractor-mounted mowers, rotary and flail cutters, zero-turn radius mowers, and agricultural implements. The Industrial Equipment Division offers municipal and industrial products including truck-mounted sweepers, pothole patchers, leaf collection equipment, vacuum systems, snowplows, and high-pressure cleaning systems for public spaces, roadways, and airports.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue increased from $1.33B to $1.60B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.6%. After peaking at $1.69B in FY2023, revenue fell 3.6% in FY2024 and 1.5% in FY2025. Operating margin decreased from 11.7% in FY2023 to 9.5% in FY2025, and net income moved from $136.2M to $103.8M over the same timeframe. Free cash flow stood at $146.9M in FY2025. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 7.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 0.8%. Trailing twelve-month EPS was $8.34.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Alamo Group held $195.0M in cash and short-term investments against $273.1M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $78.1M. The company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 4.39 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 on $1.19B of shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $177.5M. The business allocated cash toward $30.6M in capital expenditures, $14.4M in dividends paid, and $3.0M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Alamo Group trades at a trailing P/E of 18.1x and a forward P/E of 13.8x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for US-listed Industrials. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 9.8x versus the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 1.1x versus 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 17.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 5.6% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
ALG dividend
Alamo Group offers a forward annual dividend of $1.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.90% with a payout ratio of 14.4%. The company has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years and delivered a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 18.2%. The last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $204.80, representing 35.9% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $150.66. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.71B and EPS of $10.53. Alamo Group beat EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin narrowed from 11.7% in FY2023 to 9.5% in FY2025, signaling margin compression.
- The company has missed EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, indicating recent earnings volatility.
- Short interest stands at 5.0% of float, reflecting some negative positioning among market participants.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ALG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Alamo Group Inc. (ALG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ALG income statement, ALG balance sheet, ALG key metrics, ALG analyst forecast, ALG chart. See the ALG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ALG AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Alamo Group pay?
Alamo Group pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.36 annually, yielding 0.90% with a payout ratio of 14.4%. The company has paid continuous dividends for 34 years.
How does Alamo Group's valuation compare to industry peers?
At 18.1x trailing earnings and 9.8x EV/EBITDA, Alamo Group trades below the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively.
What are analysts projecting for Alamo Group's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS to reach $10.53 in FY2026 and $12.18 in FY2027, with the mean price target of $204.80 implying 35.9% upside over the last close.
What is Alamo Group's financial position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $195.0M in cash against $273.1M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $78.1M and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23.