Deere & Company (DE) AI Stock Analysis
DE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDeere & Company is a global manufacturer of agriculture, turf, construction, and forestry equipment. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $47.93B in revenue with an operating margin of 13.4% and diluted EPS of $17.99. While revenue contracted 11.6% in FY2025, the stock posted a 42.0% 1-year return and analysts forecast 26.9% EPS growth for the next fiscal year.
- Market cap
- $173.06B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $47.93B
- P/E
- 35.7x fwd 29.3x
- 1Y return
- 42.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $694.01 8.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts anticipate a sharp operational rebound for the next fiscal year, projecting EPS growth of 26.9% to $22.99 on revenue of $44.62B.
- Deere has demonstrated strong shareholder returns through a 55-year consecutive dividend payment record, a 16.3% 5-year annualized dividend growth rate, and a 13.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.
- Momentum accelerated in the quarter ended July 31, 2026, with quarterly revenue rising 4.9% and earnings expanding 7.4% year-over-year.
Bear case
- Annual financial performance contracted notably after FY2023, as FY2025 revenue fell 11.6% to $44.66B and net income dropped from $10.17B to $5.03B.
- Deere carries substantial financial leverage with $64.18B in total debt, a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29, and a current ratio of 0.77 as of July 31, 2026.
- The stock trades at a valuation premium with a forward P/E of 29.3x, noticeably above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.1x.
What Deere does
Deere & Company manufactures and distributes equipment worldwide across four core segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment supplies grain growers with tractors, combines, harvesters, tillage machinery, and spraying equipment. Small Agriculture and Turf provides utility tractors, lawn equipment, and implements for landscaping and turf care. The Construction and Forestry segment builds loaders, excavators, graders, compactors, and forestry vehicles. Additionally, Financial Services offers equipment financing, leases, and warranties for dealers and end-users.
Growth and profitability
Deere's revenue grew from $43.03B in FY2021 to a peak of $60.25B in FY2023, before declining 16.1% to $50.52B in FY2024 and falling 11.6% to $44.66B in FY2025. Net income followed a similar trajectory, expanding from $5.96B in FY2021 to $10.17B in FY2023, then dropping to $5.03B in FY2025 with an 11.3% net margin. Operating margin moderated from 24.2% in FY2023 to 18.8% in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, Deere achieved a revenue CAGR of 5.2%. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue growth improved to 4.9% year-over-year, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 7.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Deere held $10.28B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $64.18B, resulting in net debt of $53.90B. The company recorded a current ratio of 0.77 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29, with shareholders' equity of $27.99B and total assets of $107.61B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $7.46B and free cash flow was $3.23B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $4.23B in capital expenditures, $1.72B in dividends paid, and $1.14B in share buybacks, contributing to a 13.1% share count reduction over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $641.86, Deere has a market capitalization of $173.06B and an enterprise value of $245.20B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 35.7x and a forward P/E of 29.3x, both above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 28.4x and 20.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 20.4x also exceeds the peer median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.6x compared to the peer median of 3.1x. Over the past year, Deere returned 42.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
DE dividend
Deere pays a forward annual dividend of $6.48 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.01% with a payout ratio of 36.0%. The company has distributed dividends quarterly for 55 consecutive years, achieving an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 16.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts maintain 11 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 9 Hold ratings on Deere, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $694.01 implies an upside of 8.1% from the last close of $641.86. For the current fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $41.12B and EPS of $18.11, down 2.1%. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year, 21 analysts forecast revenue to reach $44.62B with EPS rebounding 26.9% to $22.99. Deere beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 25, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Current fiscal year revenue is estimated to decline to $41.12B with EPS falling 2.1% to $18.11, indicating near-term cyclical headwinds.
- Net debt of $53.90B and a low current ratio of 0.77 could limit balance sheet flexibility if operating cash flow declines below FY2025 levels of $7.46B.
- Operating margins contracted from 24.2% in FY2023 to 18.8% in FY2025 and 13.4% on a TTM basis, remaining below the peer median operating margin of 17.9%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Deere & Company (DE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DE income statement, DE balance sheet, DE key metrics, DE analyst forecast, DE chart. See the DE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DE AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Deere & Company pay a dividend?
Yes, Deere pays an annual forward dividend of $6.48 per share, which yields 1.01% based on a payout ratio of 36.0%. The company has paid quarterly dividends for 55 consecutive years.
What are analysts forecasting for Deere's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $18.11 on $41.12B in revenue. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates project EPS to grow 26.9% to $22.99 with revenue reaching $44.62B.
How does Deere's valuation compare to its peers?
Deere trades at a forward P/E of 29.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 20.4x, both higher than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 20.1x and 17.2x, respectively.
What is Deere's debt position?
As of July 31, 2026, Deere had total debt of $64.18B and cash of $10.28B, resulting in net debt of $53.90B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29.
When does Deere report its next quarterly results?
Deere & Company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 25, 2026.