AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AIROAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AIRO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerospace and defense company providing drones, avionics, military pilot training, and electric air mobility. Revenue reached $90.9M in FY2025, supported by a 4-year revenue CAGR of 66.7% from FY2021 to FY2025. However, the company posted a net income of -$4.1M in FY2025 and free cash flow turned negative at -$35.5M.

Market cap
$167.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$106.6M
P/E
—
1Y return
-71.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.50
192.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded 75.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company maintains a strong liquidity cushion with net cash of $16.2M and a current ratio of 2.87 as of June 30, 2026.
  • AIRO's EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.3x trades at a substantial discount to the US-listed Industrials peers median of 13.9x.

Bear case

  • The company generated negative free cash flow of -$35.5M and an operating cash flow of -$32.4M in FY2025.
  • The stock dropped 71.8% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Analyst consensus estimates forecast a net loss with an EPS of -$1.32 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

What AIRO does

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is an advanced Aerospace and Defense company operating in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The business operates across four main segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The Drones segment designs, produces, and sells drones. Avionics develops and supplies avionics, flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors for military aircraft, general aviation, drones, and eVTOLs. The Training segment offers military pilot training, adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, and JTAC services. Electric Air Mobility develops cargo rotorcraft eVTOL aircraft under the Jaunt brand.

Growth and profitability

AIRO Group Holdings grew revenue from $11.8M in FY2021 to $90.9M in FY2025, reflecting a 4-year revenue CAGR of 66.7%. Annual growth slowed to 4.6% in FY2025 following 101.0% growth in FY2024. Gross margin stood at 59.9% in FY2025, down from 67.1% in FY2024, while operating margin was -31.6%. Net income improved to -$4.1M in FY2025 from -$38.7M in FY2024, yielding an EPS of $0.09. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $106.6M with a profit margin of -23.9% and an operating margin of 3.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 75.9% year-over-year.

AIRO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, AIRO held $26.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.8M, resulting in net cash of $16.2M. The company reported a current ratio of 2.87, shareholders' equity of $720.1M, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. During FY2025, operating cash flow was -$32.4M and free cash flow was -$35.5M. Capital expenditures were $3.1M in FY2025, while share buybacks totaled $19.4M, with share count increasing 41.1% over 5 years.

AIRO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $5.30, AIRO has a market cap of $167.2M and an enterprise value of $210.2M. AIRO trades at an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x, which sits below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 13.9x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.6x, compared to the peer median of 1.5x, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.3x. Over the past year, AIRO shares declined 71.8%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and the stock trades 36.7% below its 200-day average.

AIRO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, and 1 Hold rating, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $15.50, representing a 192.5% increase from the last close of $5.30. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$1.32 on revenue of $109.8M. For FY2027, 2 analysts project revenue of $158.3M and an EPS of -$1.23. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 13, 2026.

AIRO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin was -31.6% in FY2025 and trailing twelve-month profit margin sits at -23.9%.
  • Short interest represents 13.4% of float, indicating elevated bearish positioning.
  • R&D spending reached $17.9M in FY2025, which may continue to pressure cash flow if revenue growth does not keep pace.
  • The stock is trading 36.7% below its 200-day moving average and remains near its 52-week low of $4.97.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AIRO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AIRO income statement, AIRO balance sheet, AIRO key metrics, AIRO analyst forecast, AIRO chart. See the AIRO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AIRO AI stock analysis FAQ

What is AIRO Group Holdings' core business?

AIRO Group Holdings operates in aerospace and defense across four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. It provides products such as military pilot training, avionics systems, drones, and eVTOL cargo aircraft.

What is AIRO's revenue growth track record?

AIRO grew revenue from $11.8M in FY2021 to $90.9M in FY2025, achieving a 4-year compound annual growth rate of 66.7%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 75.9% year-over-year.

Does AIRO pay a dividend?

No, AIRO does not pay a dividend. The company used capital for $3.1M in capital expenditures and $19.4M in share buybacks during FY2025.

How does AIRO's valuation compare to its peers?

AIRO has an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x, which is lower than the 13.9x median for US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.6x, compared to the peer median of 1.5x.

When does AIRO report its next quarterly earnings?

AIRO is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 13, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $109.8M and an EPS of -$1.32.

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