Argan, Inc. (AGX) AI Stock Analysis
AGX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchArgan, Inc. (AGX) provides engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services primarily to the power generation and renewable energy markets. In FY2026, the company generated $944.6M in revenue and $410.8M in free cash flow, supported by a 14.6% net margin. For the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, revenue reached $1.19B with quarterly revenue rising 61.5% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $4.85B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.19B
- P/E
- 27.3x fwd 16.6x
- 1Y return
- 17.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $570.50 65.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve months revenue accelerated with quarterly top-line growth of 61.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 50.4% in the quarter ended July 31, 2026.
- Free cash flow conversion was strong in FY2026, generating $410.8M on minimal capital expenditures of $3.9M.
- The balance sheet maintains substantial liquidity with $1.03B in cash and short-term investments as of July 31, 2026.
Bear case
- The stock is trading 33.5% below its 200-day moving average and well under its 52-week high of $805.75.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated relative to the US-listed Industrials median, including a price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x.
- Dividend distributions have seen long-term contraction, reflected in a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of -12.9%.
What Argan does
Argan, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services primarily focused on the power generation and renewable energy sectors. It operates through three segments: Power Industry Services, Industrial Fabrication and Field Services, and Telecommunications Infrastructure Services. The Power Industry Services segment delivers full-cycle contracting services for alternative energy facilities such as biomass plants, wind farms, and solar fields, covering approximately 15 gigawatts of power-generating capacity. Industrial Fabrication and Field Services provides specialized field, pipe, and vessel fabrication services to forest products, industrial gas, fertilizer, and mining firms. Telecommunications Infrastructure Services offers trenchless directional boring, excavation, and cabling solutions.
Growth and profitability
Argan grew annual revenue from $509.4M in FY2022 to $944.6M in FY2026, achieving a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 19.2% from FY2021 to FY2026. After a 10.7% revenue decline in FY2023, the business rebounded with 26.0% top-line growth in FY2024 and 52.5% in FY2025. Net income expanded from $38.2M in FY2022 to $137.8M in FY2026, with net margin improving to 14.6% and diluted EPS rising to $9.74. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.19B with an operating margin of 14.8% and EPS of $12.65. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 61.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 50.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Argan held $1.03B in cash and short-term investments, with total assets of $1.40B and shareholders' equity of $506.8M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.50. During FY2026, operating cash flow reached $414.7M against capital expenditures of $3.9M, producing $410.8M of free cash flow. Argan deployed cash toward capital returns, spending $9.9M on share buybacks and $24.3M on dividends paid. Over the five-year period, the share count declined 11.3%.
Valuation and performance
Argan trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 27.3x, compared to the median of 24.8x for US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6x sits below the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 22.1x, higher than the peer median of 13.9x, while price-to-sales is 4.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, AGX delivered a 17.1% return, closely tracking the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock gained 751.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
AGX dividend
Argan pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $2.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.81%. The payout ratio stands at 17.4%, and the company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years. The annualized five-year dividend growth rate was -12.9%, and the last ex-dividend date was October 22, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 1 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $570.50, representing 65.1% upside compared to the last close of $345.56. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.40B and EPS of $13.27, representing 36.2% EPS growth. Argan has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is December 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest represents 9.0% of the float, indicating notable negative sentiment among market participants.
- Historically volatile annual revenue included a 10.7% contraction in FY2023, showing that project-driven top lines can fluctuate.
- The EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 22.1x reflects a substantial premium over the peer group median of 13.9x, leaving the valuation vulnerable to execution setbacks.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AGX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Argan, Inc. (AGX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AGX income statement, AGX balance sheet, AGX key metrics, AGX analyst forecast, AGX chart. See the AGX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AGX AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Argan's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Argan pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $2.80 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 0.81%. The dividend payout ratio is 17.4%, and the company has distributed dividends for 16 consecutive years.
How did Argan perform in its most recent quarter?
For the quarter ended July 31, 2026, Argan posted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 61.5% and earnings growth of 50.4%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.19B with an operating margin of 14.8%.
What are analysts expecting for Argan's full-year earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $13.27 on revenue of $1.40B for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, representing 36.2% projected EPS growth. The mean price target of $570.50 sits 65.1% above the last closing price of $345.56.
How strong is Argan's balance sheet?
As of July 31, 2026, Argan held $1.03B in cash and short-term investments against total assets of $1.40B. The company closed the quarter with a current ratio of 1.50 and shareholders' equity of $506.8M.