Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AFRMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AFRM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) operates a point-of-sale payment and merchant commerce platform offering flexible installment financing. The company delivered FY2026 revenue of $3.95B and net income of $1.93B, completing a shift into annual profitability. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $4.26B with a profit margin of 45.3%.

Market cap
$24.97B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.26B
P/E
13.4x
fwd 35.6x
1Y return
7.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$98.59
33.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew 22.5% in FY2026 to $3.95B, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 35.3% from FY2021 to FY2026.
  • Operating profitability improved significantly to 22.1% in FY2026, delivering $1.93B in net income and $992.6M in free cash flow.
  • Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $98.59, which is 33.2% above the last close of $74.01.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries total debt of $9.82B and net debt of $7.22B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst estimates forecast current fiscal year EPS to fall 45.1% to $3.85.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated relative to the US-listed Financial Services peer group, including a forward P/E of 35.6x against the peer median of 10.8x.

What Affirm does

Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce across the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform provides point-of-sale payment solutions for consumers, merchant commerce tools, and a consumer-focused mobile app. Affirm offers flexible payment options that permit consumers to finance purchases over terms from one to sixty months, supported by agreements with originating banks and capital markets partners. As of June 30, 2022, the company had integrated roughly 235,000 merchants across categories such as sporting goods, furniture, travel, apparel, electronics, and jewelry, serving small businesses, direct-to-consumer brands, and brick-and-mortar retailers.

Growth and profitability

Affirm expanded revenue from $1.35B in FY2022 to $3.95B in FY2026, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 35.3% from FY2021 to FY2026. Gross margin strengthened from 57.3% in FY2022 to 69.1% in FY2026, while operating margin shifted from -64.2% to 22.1%. After reporting a net loss of -$707.4M in FY2022 and -$985.3M in FY2023, Affirm achieved positive net income of $52.2M in FY2025 and $1.93B in FY2026, generating FY2026 EPS of $6.57. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 33.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 2186.9%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $4.26B with an operating margin of 12.6%.

AFRM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Affirm held $2.60B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.82B, resulting in net debt of $7.22B. Total assets stood at $15.79B and shareholders' equity was $5.48B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 and a current ratio of 12.73. Operating cash flow improved to $1.23B in FY2026, while free cash flow reached $992.6M after deducting capital expenditures of $238.3M. In addition, the company's share count increased 24.2% over 5 years.

AFRM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Affirm carries a market capitalization of $24.97B and an enterprise value of $30.40B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 13.4x, compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E stands at 35.6x versus the peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 5.9x versus the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 7.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, AFRM fell 49.6%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

AFRM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Affirm is covered by analysts with 21 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $98.59, representing 33.2% upside from the last close of $74.01. For the current fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $5.49B and EPS of $3.85, indicating an EPS decline of 45.1%. For the next fiscal year, 6 analysts forecast revenue of $6.84B and EPS of $5.02. Affirm beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

AFRM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Stock price volatility is high, reflected by a beta of 3.82 and a 5-year return of -49.6%.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, with the share count expanding 24.2% over 5 years.
  • Earnings execution has been inconsistent, with Affirm beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AFRM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AFRM income statement, AFRM balance sheet, AFRM key metrics, AFRM analyst forecast, AFRM chart. See the AFRM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AFRM AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Affirm pay a dividend?

Affirm does not pay a dividend. Capital is directed into operations and capital expenditures, which totaled $238.3M in FY2026.

What is Affirm's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Affirm had $2.60B in cash and short-term investments, $9.82B in total debt, and net debt of $7.22B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79.

What are analysts projecting for Affirm's upcoming earnings?

For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, analysts project revenue of $5.49B and EPS of $3.85, followed by revenue of $6.84B and EPS of $5.02 in the subsequent fiscal year.

When is Affirm's next earnings report?

Affirm's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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