XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: XPELAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

XPEL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) manufactures and distributes automotive surface, paint protection, and window films globally. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $508.1M in revenue with an operating margin of 16.2% and EPS of $1.98. The stock trades at $43.81, having declined 12.2% year-to-date despite a 1-year return of 26.4%.

Market cap
$1.21B
Revenue (TTM)
$508.1M
P/E
22.1x
1Y return
26.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$61.67
40.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow increased to $62.9M in FY2025, up significantly from $2.5M in FY2022.
  • Liquidity remains solid with a current ratio of 2.61 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Covering analysts unanimously hold Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $61.67, implying 40.8% upside from the $43.81 close.

Bear case

  • XPEL trades at a trailing P/E of 22.1x and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.4x, representing a premium against the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 0.7x.
  • The stock fell 38.0% over the trailing 5-year period, significantly lagging the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
  • Short interest stands at 15.5% of float, reflecting elevated bearish sentiment.

What XPEL does

XPEL, Inc. specializes in the manufacture, sale, distribution, and installation of aftermarket automotive products. Its offerings include automotive surface and paint protection films, headlight protection solutions, and automotive and architectural window films. The company also provides proprietary software, merchandise, apparel, ceramic coatings, and installation tools and accessories. In addition, XPEL supplies paint protection kits and car wash products through online and direct distribution channels. Customers include independent installers, new car dealerships, third-party distributors, company-owned installation centers, and franchisees across major global markets including the United States, China, Canada, Europe, and Latin America.

Growth and profitability

XPEL expanded revenue from $259.3M in FY2021 to $476.2M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.5%. Gross margin widened from 35.7% in FY2021 to 42.2% in FY2025, while operating margin moved from 15.5% to 13.2%. Net income increased from $31.6M in FY2021 to $51.2M in FY2025, despite dipping to $45.5M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 14.7% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 10.4% year-over-year, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $508.1M with a net profit margin of 10.8%.

XPEL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, XPEL held $40.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $63.5M, resulting in net debt of $22.9M. The balance sheet reflects a current ratio of 2.61 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 on shareholders' equity of $306.1M. Operating cash flow totaled $66.9M in FY2025, generating free cash flow of $62.9M. Cash deployment during FY2025 included $4.0M in capital expenditures and $3.0M in share buybacks, with share count changing 0.1% over five years.

XPEL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a closing price of $43.81, XPEL has a market capitalization of $1.21B and an enterprise value of $1.25B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 22.1x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 14.9x, both above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.4x compared to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, XPEL gained 26.4%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of -38.0% trails the index's 83.0% increase.

XPEL key metrics →

What analysts expect

All 3 covering analysts rate XPEL as a Strong Buy, with 0 Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $61.67, representing a 40.8% premium over the last close of $43.81. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $532.0M and EPS of $2.25, reflecting an estimated 8.8% EPS growth. XPEL has exceeded EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.

XPEL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin decreased from 16.9% in FY2023 to 13.2% in FY2025.
  • The stock trades 6.1% below its 200-day moving average and has dropped 12.2% year-to-date.
  • Short interest represents 15.5% of the company's float, exposing the stock to elevated trading volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this XPEL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of XPEL, Inc. (XPEL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: XPEL income statement, XPEL balance sheet, XPEL key metrics, XPEL analyst forecast, XPEL chart. See the XPEL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

XPEL AI stock analysis FAQ

When is the next earnings date for XPEL?

XPEL is scheduled to release its next earnings report on November 4, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst target price for XPEL?

The mean analyst price target is $61.67, which sits 40.8% above the stock's closing price of $43.81.

Does XPEL pay a dividend?

XPEL does not currently pay a dividend.

What are analysts forecasting for XPEL's FY2026 financial results?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $532.0M and EPS of $2.25, representing expected EPS growth of 8.8%.

How much cash and debt does XPEL have?

As of June 30, 2026, XPEL held $40.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside $63.5M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $22.9M.

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