White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: WTMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

WTM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM) is a diversified financial services holding company operating across insurance, reinsurance, and capital solutions segments. In FY2025, revenue grew 15.0% to $2.71B, with net income reaching $1.11B. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.98B in revenue with a profit margin of 37.7%.

Market cap
$5.16B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.98B
P/E
4.9x
fwd 13.9x
1Y return
17.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$360.00
-83.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • TTM revenue rose to $2.98B alongside a 68.8% year-over-year quarterly earnings expansion in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $858.3M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Management reduced the share count by 20.2% over 5 years, supported by $202.6M in share repurchases in FY2025.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow and free cash flow both turned negative at -$7.2M in FY2025 despite reported net income of $1.11B.
  • The consensus mean price target of $360.00 is 83.3% below the stock's closing price of $2160.31.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.9x, which is higher than the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.

What White Mountains Insurance does

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. operates as a diversified financial services provider through its various subsidiaries in the United States. Established in 1980 and headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, the company divides its operations into five distinct segments: HG Global/BAM, Ark, NSM, Kudu, and Other Operations. The HG Global/BAM segment provides municipal bond insurance and reinsurance protection services for public infrastructure projects. The Ark segment conducts reinsurance and insurance operations covering property, marine and energy, casualty, accident and health, and specialty lines. NSM serves as a managing general agent and program administrator. Kudu provides capital solutions to boutique asset and wealth managers, while Other Operations offers travel insurance solutions and manages insurance-linked securities.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $614.4M in FY2021 to $2.71B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.8%. The company experienced significant margin expansion over this period, rebounding from a net loss of -$275.4M and an operating margin of -44.5% in FY2021 to net income of $792.8M in FY2022, $509.2M in FY2023, and $230.4M in FY2024. In FY2025, operating margin reached 49.1% and net income surged to $1.11B, generating diluted EPS of $468.38. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $2.98B with an operating margin of 36.4%. For the latest quarter, quarterly revenue increased 22.5% year-over-year, accompanied by quarterly earnings growth of 68.8%.

WTM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, White Mountains reported $1.79B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $932.5M, resulting in net cash of $858.3M. Total assets were $13.77B and shareholders' equity reached $5.39B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17. For FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both stood at -$7.2M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $202.6M directed toward share buybacks and $2.6M paid out in dividends, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 20.2%.

WTM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At the closing price of $2160.31, White Mountains carries a market cap of $5.16B and an enterprise value of $4.64B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.9x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.7x, both sitting below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 3.2x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 13.9x stands above the peer median of 10.8x, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x and a PEG ratio of 0.81. Over the past year, the stock returned 17.0%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of 96.8% exceeded the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

WTM key metrics →

WTM dividend

White Mountains pays an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 0.05% and a payout ratio of 0.3%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 32 years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at 0.0%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on March 16, 2026.

WTM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Analyst coverage provides a mean price target of $360.00, which sits 83.3% below the last close of $2160.31. White Mountains has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing 4 quarters. The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash generation can be uneven, as annual operating cash flow swung from $586.8M in FY2024 to -$7.2M in FY2025.
  • Net profitability has experienced wide historical shifts, moving from -$275.4M in FY2021 to $1.11B in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.0% of the float as of October 16, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this WTM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: WTM income statement, WTM balance sheet, WTM key metrics, WTM chart. See the WTM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

WTM AI stock analysis FAQ

What were White Mountains Insurance Group's financial results for FY2025?

In FY2025, White Mountains reported revenue of $2.71B, representing a 15.0% increase year-over-year. Net income rose to $1.11B, delivering diluted EPS of $468.38.

Does White Mountains Insurance Group pay a dividend?

Yes, the company pays an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 0.05% and a payout ratio of 0.3%. It has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years.

What is White Mountains' cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, White Mountains held $1.79B in cash and short-term investments against $932.5M of debt, reflecting a net cash balance of $858.3M.

How has WTM stock performed against the broader market?

WTM gained 17.0% over the past year, slightly ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year timeframe, WTM delivered a 96.8% return versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

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