Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: WLFCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

WLFC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Willis Lease Finance Corporation leases commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. Revenue reached $675.8M in FY2025, driven by an 18.5% 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025. However, net debt stands at $2.31B and quarterly earnings fell 53.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$898.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$754.3M
P/E
9.5x
fwd 6.9x
1Y return
-13.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$75.50
100.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded from $274.2M in FY2021 to $675.8M in FY2025, generating an 18.5% 5-year revenue CAGR.
  • Valuation multiples remain low relative to peers, with a trailing P/E of 9.5x and forward P/E of 6.9x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median forward P/E of 17.2x.
  • Operating margin expanded significantly from 3.0% in FY2021 to 32.3% in FY2025, reaching 37.7% over the trailing twelve months.

Bear case

  • Balance sheet leverage is elevated, with net debt of $2.31B and cash and short-term investments of only $10.7M as of June 30, 2026.
  • High capital spending of $524.6M in FY2025 led to negative free cash flow of -$241.3M.
  • Earnings momentum slowed sharply in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly earnings declining 53.4% year-over-year.

What Willis Lease Finance does

Willis Lease Finance Corporation leases and services commercial aircraft and engines globally. The company operates through two segments: Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. Leasing and Related Operations acquires and leases commercial aircraft, engines, and equipment, and resells aviation assets. Spare Parts Sales focuses on aftermarket sales of engine parts, whole engines, modules, and portable aircraft components. The company also manages engine assets and provides consulting services for commercial aircraft operators and maintenance, repair, and overhaul organizations. As of December 31, 2021, its owned portfolio comprised 304 engines, 12 aircraft, and one marine vessel, alongside 475 managed assets.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue increased from $274.2M in FY2021 to $675.8M in FY2025, recording 18.7% growth in FY2025 after expanding 36.0% in FY2024. Operating margin widened from 3.0% in FY2021 to 32.3% in FY2025, while gross margin stood at 65.7%. Net income rose from $3.4M in FY2021 to $113.8M in FY2025, with diluted EPS moving from -$0.03 to $6.68. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $754.3M with an operating margin of 37.7% and a profit margin of 12.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 53.4%.

WLFC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $10.7M against total debt of $2.32B, resulting in net debt of $2.31B. Total assets stood at $3.65B with shareholders' equity of $772.1M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.01 and a current ratio of 3.31. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $283.2M, but free cash flow was -$241.3M after capital expenditures of $524.6M. Cash used for shareholder returns in FY2025 included $14.4M in dividends paid and $3.8M in share buybacks.

WLFC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $37.61 on October 16, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation carries a market cap of $898.9M and an enterprise value of $3.47B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.5x and a forward P/E of 6.9x, both below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA of 9.7x sits below the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales is 1.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 13.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 195.4% surpassed the index return of 83.0%.

WLFC key metrics →

WLFC dividend

Willis Lease Finance Corporation pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.53, yielding 1.42%. The payout ratio is 9.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years. Its last ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026.

WLFC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings show 2 Strong Buy ratings and 0 Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $75.50, representing a 100.7% premium over the last close of $37.61. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.23 on revenue of $769.5M. The company topped EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

WLFC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High debt levels, marked by total debt of $2.32B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.01, expose the company to ongoing financing demands.
  • Capital-intensive operations contributed to negative free cash flow in four of the last five fiscal years, including -$241.3M in FY2025.
  • Short interest is notable, with short interest accounting for 19.7% of the float.
  • The stock price trades 38.0% below its 200-day average and near its 52-week low of $37.43.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this WLFC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: WLFC income statement, WLFC balance sheet, WLFC key metrics, WLFC analyst forecast, WLFC chart. See the WLFC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

WLFC AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Willis Lease Finance Corporation do?

Willis Lease Finance Corporation leases and resells commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aviation equipment. It also sells aftermarket spare parts and offers engine asset management services to airlines and MRO providers.

What is WLFC's dividend yield and payout?

WLFC pays an annual forward dividend of $0.53, corresponding to a 1.42% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 9.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years.

How much debt does Willis Lease Finance Corporation have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company reported total debt of $2.32B and cash of $10.7M, resulting in net debt of $2.31B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 3.01.

What is the consensus price target for WLFC stock?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $75.50 for WLFC, which is 100.7% above its last close of $37.61. The stock carries 2 Strong Buy ratings and no Hold or Sell ratings.

More Industrials AI stock analysis