Waldencast plc (WALD) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: WALDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

WALD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Waldencast plc is a skincare company known for brands like Obagi Medical, Obagi Clinical, and its Skintrinsiq device. The business generated $272.1M in FY2025 revenue but posted a net loss of -$229.7M. With cash and short-term investments at $7.8M against total debt of $149.3M, quarterly revenue fell 80.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$111.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$237.3M
P/E
—
fwd 45.0x
1Y return
-58.3%
S&P 500 17.3%
Avg. target
$2.05
141.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Waldencast achieved a 4-year revenue CAGR of 30.3% between FY2020 and FY2025, driven by brands like Obagi Medical.
  • The mean analyst price target of $2.05 implies an upside of 141.2% over the last close of $0.85.
  • Insiders own 51.6% of the company, aligning leadership incentives with equity performance.

Bear case

  • Net losses widened to -$229.7M in FY2025, yielding a net margin of -84.4%.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 80.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Waldencast held only $7.8M in cash and short-term investments against $149.3M of total debt as of June 30, 2026.

What Waldencast does

Waldencast plc develops, markets, and distributes skin health products across the skincare sector. The company's portfolio features approximately 200 cosmetic, over-the-counter, and prescription products under brands including Obagi Medical, Obagi Clinical, and Obagi Professional. Its offerings address both aesthetic enhancement and therapeutic skincare needs. A key offering is the Skintrinsiq device, which delivers facial treatments and is used by dermatologists, plastic surgeons, and aestheticians in clinical settings, spas, and medical centers. Founded in 1988 and based in White Plains, New York, Waldencast distributes its products through a direct sales force and strategic distribution partnerships.

Growth and profitability

Waldencast grew revenue from $94.4M in FY2020 to $272.1M in FY2025, reflecting a 4-year revenue CAGR of 30.3%. However, annual revenue fell 0.7% in FY2025 following growth of 25.5% in FY2024 and 53.1% in FY2023. Profitability has faced challenges, with gross margin narrowing from 69.2% in FY2020 to 45.5% in FY2025. Operating margin was -22.7% in FY2025, and net loss expanded to -$229.7M, resulting in a net margin of -84.4% and an EPS of -$0.37. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $237.3M with an operating margin of -156.9%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 80.3% year-over-year.

WALD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Waldencast held $7.8M in cash and short-term investments compared to total debt of $149.3M, leaving net debt at $141.5M. Total assets stood at $646.7M alongside shareholders' equity of $391.2M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38 and a current ratio of 4.80. In FY2025, the company used -$12.8M in operating cash flow and incurred capital expenditures of $3.4M, resulting in free cash flow of -$16.2M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 171.6%.

WALD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Waldencast carries a market capitalization of $111.9M and an enterprise value of $251.4M. Its forward P/E multiple is 45.0x, above the median of 14.3x for its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 13.9x is higher than the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x trades below the peer median of 0.7x. The stock has dropped 58.3% over the past year and 91.3% over five years, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY), which gained 17.3% and 85.1% over those respective periods.

WALD key metrics →

What analysts expect

Waldencast has a mean analyst price target of $2.05, representing 141.2% upside compared to its last close of $0.85 on October 15, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.50 and revenue of $286.6M. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $317.6M, representing 10.8% growth, and an EPS of -$0.44. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the past 4 quarters.

WALD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow of -$16.2M in FY2025 poses liquidity challenges given the cash balance of $7.8M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Gross margins compressed steadily from 69.2% in FY2020 to 45.5% in FY2025.
  • The share count expanded 171.6% over 5 years, highlighting ongoing shareholder dilution.
  • Total debt of $149.3M creates a net debt burden of $141.5M for a company with a market cap of $111.9M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 15, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this WALD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Waldencast plc (WALD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 15, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: WALD income statement, WALD balance sheet, WALD key metrics, WALD analyst forecast, WALD chart. See the WALD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

WALD AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Waldencast plc pay a dividend?

No, Waldencast plc does not pay a dividend. The company reported negative free cash flow of -$16.2M in FY2025.

What is Waldencast's revenue and earnings track record?

Waldencast generated $272.1M in revenue and a net loss of -$229.7M in FY2025. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates in 2 quarters.

How much debt does Waldencast carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Waldencast had total debt of $149.3M and cash and short-term investments of $7.8M, resulting in net debt of $141.5M.

What are analysts forecasting for Waldencast?

Analysts estimate revenue of $286.6M and an EPS of -$0.50 for FY2026. The mean price target is $2.05, representing 141.2% above the last close of $0.85.

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