Coty Inc. (COTY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: COTYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

COTY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Coty Inc. (COTY) is a global beauty manufacturer and distributor operating across Prestige and Consumer Beauty categories in roughly 120 countries and territories. In FY2026, revenue slipped 1.5% to $5.81B while the company recorded a net loss of -$604.8M. Despite reporting $348.2M in free cash flow, Coty maintains substantial leverage with $3.25B in net debt.

Market cap
$2.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.81B
P/E
—
fwd 7.9x
1Y return
-22.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$2.66
-16.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Coty generated $348.2M in free cash flow in FY2026, supported by $537.8M in operating cash flow.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.9x and a PEG ratio of 0.18, both well below the peer forward P/E median of 14.3x.
  • Analyst consensus projects FY2027 EPS to rebound 56.1% to $0.33.

Bear case

  • Coty reported a net loss of -$604.8M in FY2026, bringing its net margin down to -10.4%.
  • The balance sheet remains leveraged with $3.25B in net debt and a current ratio of 0.75 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The mean analyst price target of $2.66 sits 16.9% below the recent closing price of $3.20.

What Coty does

Coty Inc. is a global beauty manufacturer and distributor founded in 1904 and based in New York, New York. The business operates two core divisions: Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The Prestige segment sells prestige fragrances, color cosmetics, and skincare products through perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, direct-to-consumer websites, and travel retail, with brands including Burberry, Gucci, Calvin Klein, Marc Jacobs, and Tiffany & Co. The Consumer Beauty segment provides mass-market cosmetics and personal care products through supermarkets, hypermarkets, pharmacies, drug stores, and e-commerce platforms. Key brands in this segment include CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, Sally Hansen, and Adidas, distributed across approximately 120 countries and territories.

Growth and profitability

Coty generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.6% between FY2021 and FY2026. Revenue rose from $5.30B in FY2022 and $5.55B in FY2023 to a high of $6.12B in FY2024, before falling 3.7% in FY2025 to $5.89B and 1.5% in FY2026 to $5.81B. Operating margin contracted from 9.8% in FY2023 to 4.1% in FY2025, turning negative to -1.4% in FY2026. Net income followed a downward trajectory from $508.2M in FY2023 to -$367.9M in FY2025 and -$604.8M in FY2026. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 22.2%.

COTY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Coty held $188.9M in cash and short-term investments against $3.44B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.25B. Shareholders' equity was $2.99B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15, while the current ratio stood at 0.75. Coty delivered $537.8M in operating cash flow and $348.2M in free cash flow in FY2026. Cash deployment included $189.6M in capital expenditures and $13.2M in dividends paid, while share count rose 4.5% over 5 years.

COTY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Coty trades at a forward P/E of 7.9x, which is below the 14.3x median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x is lower than the peer median of 0.7x, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.8x. However, its EV to EBITDA multiple is elevated at 99.4x compared to the peer median of 11.7x. Over the 1-year period, Coty shares declined 22.9%, trailing the 16.8% gain of the S&P 500. Over 5 years, the stock fell 59.1% while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.

COTY key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings include 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 15 Hold, 2 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $2.66, which is 16.9% below the last close of $3.20. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, analysts project EPS of $0.33, up 56.1%, on revenue of $5.70B. Coty recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

COTY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Coty recorded 0 EPS beats over the trailing 4 quarters, underscoring consistent earnings underperformance against expectations.
  • Consensus estimates project revenue to drop 8.4% to $5.23B in FY2028, continuing top-line contraction.
  • A heavy total debt burden of $3.44B paired with an EV to EBITDA multiple of 99.4x leaves the company sensitive to operating headwinds.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this COTY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Coty Inc. (COTY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: COTY income statement, COTY balance sheet, COTY key metrics, COTY analyst forecast, COTY chart. See the COTY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

COTY AI stock analysis FAQ

When is Coty's next earnings report?

Coty is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.

What is the average analyst price target for Coty?

The mean analyst price target is $2.66, representing a 16.9% decline from the last closing price of $3.20.

How much debt does Coty have?

As of June 30, 2026, Coty had $3.44B in total debt and $188.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.25B.

Did Coty generate positive cash flow in FY2026?

Yes, Coty produced $537.8M in operating cash flow and $348.2M in free cash flow in FY2026, despite recording a net loss of -$604.8M.

More Consumer Defensive AI stock analysis