Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis
VTS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchVitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) is an independent energy company focused on acquiring non-operated working and royalty interests in US oil and gas properties, primarily in the Bakken Field. In FY2025, revenue increased 13.2% to $274.0M while generating $170.3M in free cash flow. However, trailing twelve months net margin sits at -4.3% with an EPS of -$0.28, even as the company sustains a forward dividend yield of 9.59%.
- Market cap
- $768.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $259.0M
- P/E
- — fwd 909.1x
- 1Y return
- -9.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $21.50 17.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Vitesse Energy delivered $170.3M in free cash flow in FY2025 alongside a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.0%.
- The stock offers a high forward dividend yield of 9.59% with an annual dividend rate of $1.75 per share.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $21.50, indicating a potential 17.8% upside from the recent close of $18.25.
Bear case
- Over the trailing twelve months, the company posted a net loss reflected in a profit margin of -4.3% and an EPS of -$0.28.
- The dividend payout ratio stands at 102.0%, while cash and short-term investments totaled just $884,000 as of June 30, 2026.
- VTS has delivered 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters and faces an estimated current fiscal year EPS of -$0.08.
What Vitesse Energy does
Vitesse Energy, Inc. specializes in the acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and divestiture of oil and gas properties. The company focuses strategically on acquiring non-operated working interests and royalty interests, primarily concentrated in the prolific Bakken Field across North Dakota and Montana. Additionally, Vitesse Energy holds non-operated interests in oil and gas properties situated in Colorado and Wyoming, providing diversified exposure across major hydrocarbon basins. Established in 2022 and based in Centennial, Colorado, the company employs 37 people and operates with a focus on resource development and operational efficiency.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 23.0% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching $274.0M in FY2025, up 13.2% from $242.0M in FY2024. Gross margin compressed from 68.4% in FY2021 to 18.9% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 29.1% to 6.3%. Net income was $25.3M in FY2025 compared to $21.1M in FY2024 and -$21.6M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $259.0M with an operating margin of 52.0% and a profit margin of -4.3%, yielding an EPS of -$0.28. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 27.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Vitesse Energy held $884,000 in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $165.1M, resulting in net debt of $164.2M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.06 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 against shareholders' equity of $623.9M. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both reached $170.3M, supported by minimal capital expenditures of $8,000. Capital allocation was directed heavily toward shareholder returns, with $92.1M paid in dividends during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
Vitesse Energy trades at an enterprise value of $870.7M and a market capitalization of $768.4M. Its forward P/E of 909.1x and price-to-sales of 3.0x compare to medians of 12.7x and 1.8x among its US-listed Energy peers. The stock's EV-to-EBITDA stands at 6.7x, below the peer group median of 8.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 9.1%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Year-to-date, VTS is up 1.9% and trades 5.5% above its 200-day moving average.
VTS dividend
Vitesse Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.75 per share, representing a dividend yield of 9.59%. The company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years. Its payout ratio stands at 102.0%, following total dividend distributions of $92.1M in FY2025. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $21.50, representing an upside of 17.8% over the last close of $18.25. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $317.9M and an EPS of -$0.08, reflecting EPS growth of -110.4%. Over the last 4 quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- With only $884,000 in cash and short-term investments against $165.1M in total debt, liquidity buffers remain tight.
- Short interest represents 14.8% of the float, pointing to elevated market skepticism.
- Gross margin has dropped significantly from 68.4% in FY2021 to 18.9% in FY2025.
- Next fiscal year revenue is expected to decline by 5.6% to $300.2M according to analyst projections.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this VTS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: VTS income statement, VTS balance sheet, VTS key metrics, VTS analyst forecast, VTS chart. See the VTS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
VTS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Vitesse Energy's dividend yield and payout?
Vitesse Energy pays an annual forward dividend of $1.75 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 9.59%. In FY2025, total dividend payments were $92.1M, and the current payout ratio is 102.0%.
What are analysts forecasting for VTS earnings and price target?
Analysts have a mean price target of $21.50, which is 17.8% above its last close of $18.25. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.08 and revenue of $317.9M.
How much debt does Vitesse Energy carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $165.1M in total debt and $884,000 in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $164.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26.
How has VTS stock performed relative to the market?
Over the past year, VTS has generated a return of -9.1%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Year-to-date, the stock has gained 1.9%.