Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VELOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VELO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) produces and sells metal additive 3D printers and software for high-precision components across industries like space, defense, and aviation. The company generated $57.6M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but faces ongoing operating losses with a profit margin of -89.6%. Its balance sheet holds $91.1M in cash and short-term investments against $3.2M in total debt.

Market cap
$218.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$57.6M
P/E
—
1Y return
17.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$23.25
242.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded 52.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The balance sheet maintains $87.9M in net cash with a current ratio of 6.33 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The consensus analyst mean price target of $23.25 represents a 242.2% premium over the last close of $6.79.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin sits at -53.5% with a profit margin of -89.6%.
  • Free cash flow remained negative in FY2025 at -$30.0M alongside an operating cash flow of -$27.3M.
  • The 5-year share count increased 8337.9%, contributing to a 5-year stock return of -99.8%.

What Velo3D does

Velo3D, Inc. produces and sells metal additive three-dimensional printers across the Americas, Europe, and international markets. Its printers manufacture components for space rockets, jet engines, fuel delivery systems, and other metal parts. The company's hardware portfolio includes Sapphire, Sapphire 1MZ, Sapphire XC, and Sapphire XC 1MZ printers. Its integrated solution features the Flow software platform for part scanning, Assure for quality assurance, Developer for print preparation, and Intelligent Fusion manufacturing processes. Velo3D serves space, aviation, defense, automotive, energy, and industrial markets. Founded in 2014 and based in Fremont, California, the company operates as a subsidiary of Arrayed Additive inc.

Growth and profitability

Velo3D expanded annual revenue from $27.4M in FY2021 to a peak of $78.7M in FY2022 before declining to $41.0M in FY2024 and rebounding 12.1% to $46.0M in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 19.4%. Operating margins remained negative throughout, coming in at -119.5% in FY2025 alongside a net loss of -$71.4M and EPS of -$99.76. Gross margin stood at -16.1% in FY2025 compared to 18.1% in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 52.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 79.2% year-over-year.

VELO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Velo3D held $91.1M in cash and short-term investments and $3.2M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $87.9M. Total assets stood at $200.1M, with shareholders' equity of $146.5M. The company's current ratio was 6.33 and its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.02. Free cash flow was -$30.0M in FY2025, an improvement from -$143.4M in FY2022. FY2025 capital expenditures were $2.7M. Over the trailing 5-year period, the company's share count increased 8337.9%.

VELO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Velo3D has a market capitalization of $218.5M and an enterprise value of $310.0M. It trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 3.8x, above the 2.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA ratio is 6.8x, below the peer group median of 16.6x, while its EV-to-revenue stands at 5.4x and price-to-book is 2.5x. Over the past year, VELO gained 17.4%, slightly outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its return over five years was -99.8%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

VELO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analysts have a mean price target of $23.25 for VELO, which is 242.2% above its last close of $6.79. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $72.5M and EPS of -$0.98. For the next fiscal year, two analysts project revenue of $92.1M, representing 27.0% growth, and an EPS of -$0.63. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates once. The next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

VELO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 30.1% of the float, accompanied by a high beta of 2.58.
  • Gross margin was negative at -16.1% in FY2025 and trailing twelve-month ROE was -61.4%.
  • The company missed EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, with only 1 beat recorded.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VELO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Velo3D, Inc. (VELO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VELO income statement, VELO balance sheet, VELO key metrics, VELO analyst forecast, VELO chart. See the VELO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VELO AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Velo3D, Inc. do?

Velo3D produces metal additive 3D printers, such as its Sapphire series, and proprietary manufacturing software like Flow and Assure. It supplies integrated manufacturing systems to sectors including space, aviation, defense, and automotive.

Does Velo3D pay a dividend?

No, Velo3D does not pay a dividend.

What is Velo3D's cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Velo3D held $91.1M in cash and short-term investments against $3.2M in total debt, leaving the business with $87.9M in net cash.

What are analysts forecasting for Velo3D's revenue and earnings?

Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $72.5M and an EPS of -$0.98. For the following fiscal year, two analysts project revenue will reach $92.1M with an EPS of -$0.63.

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