Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) AI Stock Analysis
TRC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTejon Ranch Co. (TRC) is a California-based real estate development and agribusiness firm with a market capitalization of $441.5M. The company generated $56.8M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but operating profitability has faced headwinds, ending FY2025 with an operating margin of -16.0%. Shares trade at a trailing P/E of 74.3x, significantly above peers in the Industrials sector.
- Market cap
- $441.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $56.8M
- P/E
- 74.3x fwd 89.3x
- 1Y return
- 4.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $26.25 60.6% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x against $477.6M in shareholders' equity as of June 30, 2026.
- Quarterly revenue demonstrated rapid acceleration in the latest quarter, growing 71.7% year-over-year.
- The analyst mean price target of $26.25 represents an implied upside of 60.6% over the last close of $16.34.
Bear case
- Free cash flow remained negative in FY2025 at -$65.1M due to significant capital expenditures of $71.2M.
- TRC's forward P/E ratio of 89.3x represents a steep premium to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
- Operating margins have been pressured in recent years, registering at -16.0% in FY2025 and -22.0% in FY2024.
What Tejon Ranch does
Founded in 1843 and headquartered in Lebec, California, Tejon Ranch Co. operates across five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations. Commercial and industrial operations handle planning, construction, sales, and leases for service stations, eateries, and telecommunications facilities. The resort and residential division oversees land entitlement and planning. The mineral resources segment collects royalties from oil, gas, aggregates, cement production, and water assets. The farming segment produces wine grapes, almonds, pistachios, alfalfa, forage mix, and vegetables, while ranch operations manage land services, grazing leases, and guided hunting.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Tejon Ranch delivered a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 5.6%. Top-line performance fluctuated, moving from $79.2M in FY2022 down to $41.9M in FY2024, before rising 18.4% to $49.6M in FY2025. Net income narrowed from $15.8M in FY2022 to $75,000 in FY2025, with net margins dropping from 20.0% to 0.2% over that period. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $56.8M with an operating margin of 2.4% and diluted EPS of $0.22. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 71.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 64.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tejon Ranch held $15.1M in cash and short-term investments against $95.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $80.9M. The balance sheet maintained a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20 and a current ratio of 2.92, supported by $477.6M in shareholders' equity and $639.5M in total assets. Operating cash flow stood at $6.1M in FY2025, but capital expenditures reached $71.2M, leading to free cash flow of -$65.1M. Over five years, the company reduced its share count by 0.6%.
Valuation and performance
TRC trades at a trailing P/E of 74.3x and a forward P/E of 89.3x, well above the US-listed Industrials median trailing P/E of 24.8x and forward P/E of 17.2x. The enterprise value of $527.0M reflects an EV/EBITDA multiple of 84.3x, compared to 13.9x for the peer group. However, TRC trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x. Over the past year, the stock returned 4.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a five-year timeframe, TRC returned -9.8% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
Analysts have established a mean price target of $26.25, indicating potential upside of 60.6% relative to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $16.34. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $55.0M and EPS of $0.18. Over the prior four quarters, Tejon Ranch delivered 4 EPS beats against forecasts. The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Free cash flow burn has persisted over several years, reaching -$65.1M in FY2025 alongside -$51.8M in FY2024.
- Short interest stands at 9.8% of float, reflecting elevated bearish sentiment.
- Quarterly net earnings fell 64.8% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Annual operating margins were negative in three of the last five fiscal years, including -16.0% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TRC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TRC income statement, TRC balance sheet, TRC key metrics, TRC analyst forecast, TRC chart. See the TRC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TRC AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Tejon Ranch Co. pay a dividend?
Tejon Ranch Co. does not pay a regular dividend.
What is the consensus price target for TRC stock?
The analyst mean price target for TRC is $26.25, which sits 60.6% higher than the October 16, 2026 closing price of $16.34.
What are TRC's projected earnings and revenue for FY2026?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate TRC will achieve revenue of $55.0M and earnings per share of $0.18.
How leveraged is Tejon Ranch Co.'s balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Tejon Ranch carried $95.9M in total debt and $15.1M in cash, leading to net debt of $80.9M and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20.