Graham Holdings Company (GHC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GHCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GHC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) is a diversified conglomerate operating across education, media, healthcare, automotive dealerships, and manufacturing. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $5.07B with an operating margin of 19.7%. The company holds $1.25B in cash and short-term investments against $1.34B in total debt.

Market cap
$5.10B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.07B
P/E
9.7x
fwd 20.1x
1Y return
27.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1100.00
-8.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months earnings per share reached $123.67, supported by quarterly earnings growth of 676.5% for the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.3x, below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.
  • Graham Holdings maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 and $1.25B in cash and short-term investments.

Bear case

  • The sole covering analyst maintains a StrongSell rating with a price target of $1100.00, which is 8.6% below the last close.
  • Annual revenue growth slowed from 23.2% in FY2022 to 2.5% in FY2025, alongside gross margin contraction from 33.6% in FY2021 to 27.6% in FY2025.
  • Consensus estimates project EPS to decline by 8.8% to $67.50 in the next fiscal year.

What Graham does

Graham Holdings Company operates globally as a diversified education and media enterprise through its various subsidiaries. It provides educational services including test preparation, professional training, and certifications through Purdue University Global, alongside English-language training, academic preparation, colleges, a business school, and an online learning platform. In media, it owns seven television stations, social media audience engagement tools, Foreign Policy magazine, and Slate. Its portfolio also includes home health and hospice services, industrial burners and controls, cybersecurity training, commercial lighting solutions, restaurants, entertainment venues, and automobile dealerships.

Growth and profitability

From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 11.2%, expanding from $3.19B in FY2021 to $4.91B in FY2025. Annual top-line growth slowed to 2.5% in FY2025 from 8.5% in FY2024 and 12.5% in FY2023. Gross margin declined to 27.6% in FY2025 from 33.6% in FY2021, while operating margin rose to 5.1% in FY2025. Net income stood at $292.3M in FY2025 with an EPS of $51.50, down from $724.6M and $63.77 in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 7.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 676.5%.

GHC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.25B in cash and short-term investments, with total debt of $1.34B, resulting in net debt of $92.6M. Shareholders' equity was $4.76B, supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 and a current ratio of 1.86. In FY2025, Graham Holdings generated $339.5M in operating cash flow and $267.7M in free cash flow. Cash allocations for FY2025 included $71.9M for capital expenditures, $31.4M for dividends paid, and $3.5M for share buybacks.

GHC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Graham Holdings trades at a trailing P/E of 9.7x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.3x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 13.9x for US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E of 20.1x is higher than the peer median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x compares to the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 27.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, its return of 119.8% also exceeded the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

GHC key metrics →

GHC dividend

Graham Holdings offers an annual forward dividend of $7.52 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.63% and a payout ratio of 12.2%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 13 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 4.4%. The last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.

GHC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Analyst coverage is limited to 1 analyst, who issues a StrongSell rating with 0 StrongBuy, Buy, Hold, or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $1100.00, which is 8.6% below the last close of $1203.26. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the consensus EPS estimate is $74.00 on revenue of $5.23B. Next fiscal year estimates project EPS of $67.50 on $5.42B in revenue. The company posted 3 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

GHC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 14.0% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.
  • Gross margin has trended lower over five years, contracting from 33.6% in FY2021 to 27.6% in FY2025.
  • Net income dropped sharply from $724.6M in FY2024 to $292.3M in FY2025, highlighting annual profit volatility.
  • Analyst projections indicate a potential 8.8% reduction in earnings per share for the next fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GHC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Graham Holdings Company (GHC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GHC income statement, GHC balance sheet, GHC key metrics, GHC analyst forecast, GHC chart. See the GHC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GHC AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Graham Holdings Company pay?

Graham Holdings pays a forward annual dividend of $7.52 per share, which corresponds to a yield of 0.63% and a payout ratio of 12.2%.

When is the next earnings release for Graham Holdings?

The next earnings date for Graham Holdings is November 4, 2026.

How does Graham Holdings' valuation compare to its peers?

The company trades at a trailing P/E of 9.7x and EV/EBITDA of 5.3x, both lower than the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, though its forward P/E of 20.1x is above the peer median of 17.2x.

What is the financial position of Graham Holdings?

As of June 30, 2026, Graham Holdings held $1.25B in cash and short-term investments and $1.34B in total debt, yielding a net debt of $92.6M and a current ratio of 1.86.

More Industrials AI stock analysis