Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) is an established confectionery manufacturer with iconic brands including Tootsie Roll, Charms, and Junior Mints. The company generated $734.7M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a net cash position of $125.0M. Its stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 30.3x while facing recent quarterly revenue and earnings contractions.

Market cap
$2.87B
Revenue (TTM)
$734.7M
P/E
30.3x
fwd 26.7x
1Y return
-9.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$19.00
-50.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company maintains a strong liquidity profile with $125.0M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow generation remained robust at $96.4M in FY2025, easily supporting $26.1M in annual dividend payments.
  • Tootsie Roll has delivered 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters heading into its next earnings report.

Bear case

  • In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, earnings fell 23.9% year-over-year while revenue decreased 0.6%.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.3x, well above the peer median of 18.6x for US-listed Consumer Defensive companies.
  • The analyst mean price target of $19.00 implies a 50.3% decline from the last closing price of $38.23.

What Tootsie Roll Industries does

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. and its subsidiaries manufacture and distribute confectionery products globally, with core markets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and established in 1896, its brand portfolio includes Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Child's Play, Caramel Apple Pops, Charms, Blow-Pop, Cella's, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Sugar Daddy, Sugar Babies, Andes, Fluffy Stuff, Dubble Bubble, Razzles, Cry Baby, NIK-L-NIP, and Tutsi Pop. The company sells through supermarkets, variety stores, dollar stores, drug chains, mass merchandisers, club stores, vending operators, e-commerce, the U.S. military, and fundraising groups.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $570.8M to $732.5M, reflecting a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 9.2%. Over that span, net income rose from $65.3M in FY2021 to $100.1M in FY2025, with EPS increasing from $0.97 to $1.37. Gross margin widened to 35.5% in FY2025, up from 34.9% in FY2021, while operating margin expanded to 14.0%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $734.7M with an operating margin of 8.9%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 0.6% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings decreased 23.9%.

TR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Tootsie Roll maintained $141.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $16.2M, resulting in net cash of $125.0M. The current ratio stood at 2.89, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 across $952.3M in shareholders' equity and $1.27B in total assets. In FY2025, the company generated $130.6M in operating cash flow and $96.4M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $34.3M, while cash returned to shareholders included $6.5M in share buybacks and $26.1M in dividends paid.

TR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $38.23 per share, Tootsie Roll has a market capitalization of $2.87B and an enterprise value of $2.73B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.3x and a forward P/E of 26.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers at 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 19.0x compared to the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, TR shares declined 9.0%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 48.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

TR key metrics →

TR dividend

Tootsie Roll pays a forward annual dividend of $0.36 per share, representing a 0.94% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 24.5%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 43 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the dividend increased at an annualized growth rate of 2.8%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on October 7, 2026.

TR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $19.00 on the stock, representing a 50.3% decrease from the last close of $38.23. The company demonstrated a track record of earnings outperformance, recording 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings announcement date is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly revenue growth turned negative at -0.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, falling behind the peer median of 2.1%.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin compressed to 8.9%, down from the 14.0% achieved in FY2025.
  • Insiders control 57.7% of the company, concentrating voting power relative to public institutional and retail shareholders.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TR income statement, TR balance sheet, TR key metrics, TR chart. See the TR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Tootsie Roll's dividend yield and track record?

Tootsie Roll pays an annual forward dividend of $0.36 per share, which equals a 0.94% yield. The company has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years with a 24.5% payout ratio.

How does Tootsie Roll's valuation compare to other consumer defensive stocks?

TR trades at a trailing P/E of 30.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 19.0x. Both multiples represent a premium to the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers, which stand at 18.6x and 11.7x, respectively.

What is the condition of Tootsie Roll's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $141.1M in cash and short-term investments against $16.2M in total debt, giving it $125.0M in net cash and a conservative current ratio of 2.89.

When is Tootsie Roll's next earnings report?

Tootsie Roll's next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

More Consumer Defensive AI stock analysis