Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) AI Stock Analysis
MDLZ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMondelez International, Inc. is a global snack food and beverage manufacturer known for brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Ritz. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $39.67B with an operating margin of 22.0%. The company delivers a 3.25% dividend yield and trades at a forward P/E of 18.2x.
- Market cap
- $81.57B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $39.67B
- P/E
- 23.5x fwd 18.2x
- 1Y return
- 7.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $69.05 8.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings increased 144.9% year-over-year for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The forward P/E ratio of 18.2x sits well below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers of 26.0x.
- Mondelez has paid dividends for 26 consecutive years and expanded its dividend at a 10.1% 5-year annualized rate.
Bear case
- Operating margin dropped from 16.2% in FY2021 to 9.2% in FY2025 as net income decreased from $4.30B to $2.45B.
- The 1-year stock return of 7.4% trailed behind the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Total debt reached $22.06B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a low current ratio of 0.60.
What Mondelez does
Mondelez International, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells snack foods and beverages worldwide. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, the company operates across Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. Its portfolio includes biscuits and baked snacks featuring brands such as Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, and Tate's Bake Shop. The company also produces chocolates including Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone, alongside gums, candies, snack bars, salted snacks, cakes, pastries, cheese, grocery products, and powdered beverages. It distributes products through supermarket chains, wholesalers, convenience stores, and specialty retailers.
Growth and profitability
Mondelez delivered annual revenue growth from $28.72B in FY2021 to $38.54B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.7%. Revenue rose 9.7% in FY2022, 14.4% in FY2023, 1.2% in FY2024, and 5.8% in FY2025. Annual net income moved from $4.30B in FY2021 to $2.45B in FY2025, while gross margin compressed from 39.2% to 28.4% and operating margin dropped from 16.2% to 9.2%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 144.9%. TTM revenue stood at $39.67B with a 22.0% operating margin and an 8.9% profit margin.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Mondelez held $1.72B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $22.06B, resulting in net debt of $20.34B. The current ratio stood at 0.60, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.83 against $26.64B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.51B and free cash flow was $3.23B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $1.28B for capital expenditures, $2.49B in dividends paid, and $2.38B in share buybacks, which helped reduce the 5-year share count by 8.0%.
Valuation and performance
At $63.91, Mondelez holds a market cap of $81.57B and an enterprise value of $98.30B. Its trailing P/E of 23.5x and forward P/E of 18.2x trade below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers at 38.7x and 26.0x, respectively. The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 15.7x, compared to the peer median of 18.4x, and matches the peer price-to-sales ratio at 2.1x. Over the past year, MDLZ generated a 7.4% return compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 21.7% lagged the index return of 83.0%.
MDLZ dividend
Mondelez pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual dividend of $2.08 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.25%. The payout ratio is 70.9%. The company has paid dividends for 26 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.1%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Mondelez is covered by Wall Street analysts with 11 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $69.05, representing an upside of 8.0% from the last close of $63.91. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $40.10B and EPS of $3.05. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margin contracted significantly from 39.2% in FY2021 to 28.4% in FY2025.
- Net debt of $20.34B against cash of $1.72B may limit financial flexibility given the current ratio of 0.60.
- With a dividend payout ratio of 70.9% and $2.49B in FY2025 dividend payments, earnings pressure could constrain future payout increases.
- Annual revenue growth decelerated from 14.4% in FY2023 to 1.2% in FY2024 before reaching 5.8% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MDLZ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MDLZ income statement, MDLZ balance sheet, MDLZ key metrics, MDLZ analyst forecast, MDLZ chart. See the MDLZ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MDLZ AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Mondelez pay a dividend?
Yes, Mondelez pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual dividend of $2.08, providing a 3.25% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 70.9%.
When is the next earnings release for MDLZ?
Mondelez is scheduled to announce its next quarterly earnings on October 29, 2026, after beating EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
How does Mondelez's valuation compare to sector peers?
Mondelez trades at a forward P/E of 18.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 15.7x, both of which are lower than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers at 26.0x and 18.4x.
What is the analyst price target for MDLZ stock?
The mean analyst price target is $69.05, which is 8.0% above the last close of $63.91, backed by 11 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings.