The Hershey Company (HSY) AI Stock Analysis
HSY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThe Hershey Company is a global confectionery and snack manufacturer with a market capitalization of $34.32B. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $12.16B in revenue with an operating margin of 23.1%. While FY2025 net income contracted to $883.3M, trailing twelve-month earnings per share rebounded to $7.32 alongside a 3.40% dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $34.32B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.16B
- P/E
- 23.3x fwd 17.8x
- 1Y return
- -5.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $198.00 15.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings grew 631.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, driven by an expanding trailing twelve-month operating margin of 23.1%.
- Hershey provides shareholder income through a 3.40% dividend yield backed by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Analyst consensus targets a share price of $198.00, representing 15.9% upside potential from the last close of $170.83.
Bear case
- Gross margin dropped sharply to 33.3% in FY2025 from 47.3% in FY2024, cutting net income from $2.22B to $883.3M.
- Hershey stock underperformed broader markets with a 1-year return of -5.8% compared to the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.
- Total debt of $5.61B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $791.2M, resulting in net debt of $4.82B.
What Hershey does
The Hershey Company manufactures and distributes confectionery products and pantry essentials across the globe. The company operates through three segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. Its product lineup spans chocolate and non-chocolate confections, gum, mints, baking ingredients, sundae syrups, meat snacks, spreads, bars, popcorn, and protein bars. Key brands include Hershey's, Reese's, Kisses, Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Cadbury, barkTHINS, Kit Kat, Twizzlers, York, Ice Breakers, and SkinnyPop. Headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania, the company sells through wholesale distributors, grocery chains, mass merchandisers, convenience stores, and online platforms.
Growth and profitability
Hershey expanded annual revenue from $8.97B in FY2021 to $11.69B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 7.5%. Operating margin shifted from 22.8% in FY2021 to a peak of 25.9% in FY2024 before dropping to 12.1% in FY2025, when net income declined to $883.3M. Performance improved over the trailing twelve months, generating $12.16B in revenue and an operating margin of 23.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 6.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 631.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Hershey held $791.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.61B, leaving net debt at $4.82B. Shareholders' equity was $4.56B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23 and a current ratio of 1.18. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.28B and free cash flow was $1.75B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $528.2M for capital expenditures and $1.09B in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count change was -1.5%.
Valuation and performance
Hershey closed at $170.83 on October 16, 2026, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 23.3x, compared to 23.5x for the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 17.8x and enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 18.2x stand above the peer medians of 15.2x and 13.3x, respectively. The stock recorded a 1-year return of -5.8% and a 5-year return of 7.9%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark returns of 16.8% over one year and 83.0% over five years.
HSY dividend
Hershey pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $5.81 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.40%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years and recorded a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 11.7%. The payout ratio stands at 78.9%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 14 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $198.00 sits 15.9% above the last close of $170.83. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $12.28B with earnings per share of $8.48, representing 34.4% earnings growth. Hershey beat earnings per share estimates in all of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings announcement scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The dividend payout ratio of 78.9% leaves limited retained earnings if profitability faces further pressure.
- Forward price-to-earnings of 17.8x represents a premium over the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers of 15.2x.
- The stock trades 9.0% below its 200-day moving average and remains down from its 52-week high of $239.48.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HSY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of The Hershey Company (HSY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HSY income statement, HSY balance sheet, HSY key metrics, HSY analyst forecast, HSY chart. See the HSY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HSY AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Hershey's dividend yield and track record?
Hershey offers a forward dividend yield of 3.40% based on an annual payout of $5.81 per share. The company has paid uninterrupted dividends for 42 consecutive years and increased payouts at an 11.7% annualized rate over the last five years.
When is Hershey's next earnings report?
Hershey is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026. Analysts project full-year FY2026 earnings per share of $8.48 on revenue of $12.28B.
How does Hershey's valuation compare to its peers?
Hershey trades at a forward P/E of 17.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 18.2x, compared to medians of 15.2x and 13.3x for the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers. Its trailing P/E of 23.3x sits slightly below the peer median of 23.5x.
What is Hershey's current debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, Hershey had $5.61B in total debt and $791.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $4.82B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23.