Tandy Leather Factory, Inc. (TLF) AI Stock Analysis
TLF AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTandy Leather Factory, Inc. (TLF) is a specialty retailer of leathercraft products operating 106 retail stores across North America and Spain. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $77.2M in revenue with an operating margin of 3.0% and an eps_ttm of -$0.18. While revenue grew 1.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 98.0%.
- Market cap
- $19.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $77.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 11.7x
- 1Y return
- 35.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.50 130.3% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at an EV-to-EBITDA of 6.7x, lower than the median of 11.1x for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
- The company produced a 35.7% 1-year return, outpacing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $5.50, representing a 130.3% premium over the last close of $2.39.
Bear case
- Free cash flow dropped to -$8.1M in FY2025 alongside negative operating cash flow of -$556,000.
- The business posted an eps_ttm of -$0.18 and a profit margin of -2.1% over the trailing twelve months.
- In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 98.0% year-over-year.
What Tandy Leather Factory does
Tandy Leather Factory, Inc. retails leather and leathercraft supplies across North America and Spain. The company provides leather, hand tools, hardware, kits, liquids, teaching materials, open workbenches, machinery, and accessories. It also manufactures leather laces, cut leather pieces, do-it-yourself kits, thread laces, belt strips and straps, and Craftaids, while offering cutting, splitting, and assembly production services. Operating under brands including Tandy Leather, Eco-Flo, Craftool, CraftoolPro, Dr. Jackson's, and TandyPro, sales flow through 106 retail stores—including 95 in the United States, ten in Canada, and one in Spain—and regional e-commerce sites like tandyleather.com.
Growth and profitability
Tandy Leather Factory generated revenue of $82.7M in FY2021, which decreased to $80.3M in FY2022, $76.2M in FY2023, and $74.4M in FY2024 before rising 2.6% to $76.3M in FY2025. Gross margin held between 56.2% and 59.2% across these years, while operating margin fell from 5.8% in FY2023 to -1.3% in FY2025. Net income was $9.1M in FY2025, yielding an eps of $0.07, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.6%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $77.2M. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 98.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tandy Leather Factory held $6.4M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $28.3M, yielding net debt of $21.9M. Total assets stood at $81.6M and shareholders' equity reached $47.0M, supported by a current ratio of 4.55 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60. For FY2025, operating cash flow was -$556,000 and free cash flow was -$8.1M. During FY2025, capital expenditures consumed $7.5M, share buybacks used $1.4M, and dividends paid totaled $12.7M.
Valuation and performance
Tandy Leather Factory trades at a market cap of $19.6M and an enterprise value of $43.1M. Its forward P/E of 11.7x sits below the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The stock's price-to-sales multiple is 0.3x versus the peer median of 0.7x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 6.7x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 35.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 8.0% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Analyst tracking for the stock shows a mean price target of $5.50, representing a 130.3% upside compared to the last close of $2.39 on October 16, 2026. Tandy Leather Factory has recorded 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters. The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $28.3M exceeds cash and short-term investments of $6.4M, resulting in net debt of $21.9M.
- Operating margin contracted from 5.8% in FY2023 to -1.3% in FY2025.
- Trailing twelve months return on equity is -3.2%, reflecting ongoing net profitability pressure.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TLF AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tandy Leather Factory, Inc. (TLF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TLF income statement, TLF balance sheet, TLF key metrics, TLF chart. See the TLF stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TLF AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Tandy Leather Factory's market capitalization?
As of October 16, 2026, Tandy Leather Factory has a market cap of $19.6M and an enterprise value of $43.1M.
How many retail stores does Tandy Leather Factory operate?
The company operates 106 retail stores, including 95 in the United States, ten in Canada, and one in Spain.
What is the consensus analyst price target for TLF?
The mean analyst price target is $5.50, which sits 130.3% above the last close price of $2.39.
How has TLF performed against the S&P 500 benchmark?
TLF returned 35.7% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, but over five years it gained 8.0% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.