TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) AI Stock Analysis
TKO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is an entertainment company operating live sports and entertainment content, merchandising, and corporate sponsorships. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.30B in revenue with an operating margin of 32.4%. Its trailing P/E ratio sits at 61.4x, while analysts maintain a mean price target of $231.05.
- Market cap
- $33.22B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.30B
- P/E
- 61.4x fwd 48.8x
- 1Y return
- -5.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $231.05 31.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue surged 68.9% in FY2025 to $4.74B, driving free cash flow to $1.16B.
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS of $4.43, representing estimated EPS growth of 96.2%.
- The analyst mean price target of $231.05 implies a 31.7% premium over the last close of $175.50.
Bear case
- Trailing P/E of 61.4x sits well above the S&P 500 Communication Services peer median of 17.1x.
- The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
- Total debt reached $4.95B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46.
What TKO Group does
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates in the sports and entertainment industry as a subsidiary of Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. The company produces and licenses live events, television programs, pay-per-view digital and linear content, reality series, and short-form entertainment. It engages in merchandising across video games, apparel, sports equipment, trading cards, collectible memorabilia, digital goods, and toys. TKO also offers travel packages and ticket sales. In addition, the company provides corporate sponsorships and advertising solutions, offering in-venue and in-broadcast advertising opportunities, digital impressions, and content product integration to global brands.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue expanded from $1.10B in FY2021 to $1.14B in FY2022, $1.67B in FY2023, $2.80B in FY2024, and $4.74B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 37.2%. Gross margin reached 49.6% and operating margin was 20.3% in FY2025, down from an operating margin of 47.8% in FY2022. Net income transitioned from -$35.2M in FY2023 to $9.4M in FY2024 and $195.4M in FY2025, producing diluted EPS of $1.77. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $5.30B with a profit margin of 4.3% and EPS of $2.86, supported by quarterly revenue growth of 18.2% and quarterly earnings growth of 14.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, TKO held $1.55B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.95B, resulting in net debt of $3.40B. Shareholders' equity was $3.40B, and total assets stood at $16.26B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46 and a current ratio of 1.22. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.29B and free cash flow was $1.16B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $127.0M, share buybacks of $866.8M, and dividends paid of $640.7M.
Valuation and performance
TKO carries a market cap of $33.22B and an enterprise value of $18.18B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 61.4x and a forward P/E of 48.8x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Communication Services peers of 17.1x trailing and 13.8x forward. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 11.7x versus the peer median of 10.9x, and its price to sales ratio is 6.3x versus 1.8x for peers. Over the past year, TKO delivered a return of -5.1%, trailing the SPY return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 217.9% exceeded the SPY 5-year return of 83.0%.
TKO dividend
TKO pays a forward annual dividend of $3.16 per share, providing a dividend yield of 1.80% based on quarterly distributions. The dividend payout ratio stands at 131.9%. The company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 36.8%. The last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Analyst recommendations feature 15 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $231.05, representing an upside of 31.7% from the last close of $175.50. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $5.82B and EPS of $4.43, reflecting expected EPS growth of 96.2%. The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- TKO recorded a dividend payout ratio of 131.9%, indicating dividends paid exceed reported net income.
- Operating margin contracted from 47.8% in FY2022 to 20.3% in FY2025.
- Short interest stands at 11.3% of the float, indicating significant bearish positioning.
- Total debt of $4.95B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $1.55B, leaving net debt at $3.40B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TKO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TKO income statement, TKO balance sheet, TKO key metrics, TKO analyst forecast, TKO chart. See the TKO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TKO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is TKO's dividend yield and payout ratio?
TKO offers a forward annual dividend of $3.16 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 1.80%. Its payout ratio is 131.9%.
When is TKO's next earnings report?
TKO is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. Analysts project current fiscal year revenue of $5.82B and EPS of $4.43.
How does TKO's valuation compare to its peer group?
TKO trades at a trailing P/E of 61.4x, above the median of its S&P 500 Communication Services peers of 17.1x. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 11.7x compared to the peer median of 10.9x.
What are Wall Street analysts' price targets and ratings for TKO?
Analysts have issued 15 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $231.05, which is 31.7% above the last close of $175.50.