Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NFLXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NFLX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is a global provider of subscription entertainment services offering TV series, films, and mobile games. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $45.18B and net income of $10.98B, reflecting a net margin of 24.3%. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue reached $48.37B with an operating margin of 33.4%.

Market cap
$293.68B
Revenue (TTM)
$48.37B
P/E
22.2x
fwd 18.7x
1Y return
-40.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$91.39
29.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating margin expanded from 20.9% in FY2021 to 29.5% in FY2025, reaching 33.4% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Free cash flow grew to $9.46B in FY2025, supporting $9.13B in share buybacks during the year.
  • Consensus analyst estimates project FY2026 EPS of $3.58, representing an expected annual growth rate of 41.6%.

Bear case

  • The stock declined 40.4% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.
  • Total debt stood at $14.31B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a net debt position of $5.18B.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 13.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter trails the peer median rate of 24.2%.

What Netflix does

Netflix, Inc. is an entertainment services company founded in 1997 and headquartered in Los Gatos, California. The company provides TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across multiple genres and languages to approximately 231 million paid members in 190 countries. Members stream content through internet-connected devices, including televisions, digital video players, set-top boxes, and mobile devices. In addition to streaming licensed content, Netflix produces original series and films as part of its programming strategy.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue increased from $29.70B in FY2021 to $45.18B in FY2025, registering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 41.6% in FY2021 to 48.5% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 20.9% to 29.5%. Over that period, net income grew from $5.12B to $10.98B, driving diluted EPS from $1.13 to $2.53. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $48.37B with a profit margin of 28.2%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.4% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 11.1%.

NFLX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Netflix held $9.13B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.31B, resulting in net debt of $5.18B. Shareholders' equity was $30.15B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 and a current ratio of 1.14. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $10.15B and free cash flow was $9.46B after capital expenditures of $688.2M. The company directed $9.13B toward share buybacks in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -6.5%.

NFLX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Netflix carries a market cap of $293.68B and an enterprise value of $302.32B. Its trailing P/E of 22.2x sits above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers of 17.1x, while its forward P/E of 18.7x compares to the peer median of 21.9x. The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 8.6x versus the peer median of 14.9x, and a price-to-sales of 6.1x against the peer median of 8.6x. Over the 1-year period, the stock fell 40.4% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of 12.3% trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

NFLX key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage includes 28 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 15 Hold, 0 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $91.39, representing an upside of 29.6% from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $70.53. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $51.21B and EPS of $3.58, indicating 41.6% EPS growth. Across 44 analysts covering the next fiscal year, projected revenue is $56.93B with EPS of $3.79. Netflix beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 20, 2026.

NFLX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock exhibits elevated volatility with a beta of 1.61 and trades 14.9% below its 200-day average.
  • Netflix has beaten consensus EPS estimates in only 2 of the trailing 4 quarters.
  • Projected EPS growth decelerates from 41.6% in FY2026 to 5.9% in the following fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NFLX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Netflix, Inc. (NFLX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NFLX income statement, NFLX balance sheet, NFLX key metrics, NFLX analyst forecast, NFLX chart. See the NFLX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NFLX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Netflix's current valuation multiple?

Netflix trades at a trailing P/E of 22.2x and a forward P/E of 18.7x as of October 16, 2026. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 8.6x, compared to the median of 14.9x for its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers.

Does Netflix pay a dividend?

Netflix does not pay a dividend. The company returned capital to shareholders through $9.13B of share buybacks in FY2025.

How much debt does Netflix have on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Netflix held $14.31B in total debt and $9.13B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.18B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.47.

What are analysts forecasting for Netflix's future revenue and earnings?

Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $51.21B and EPS of $3.58. For the next fiscal year, 44 analysts estimate revenue of $56.93B and EPS of $3.79.

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