Sirius XM Holdings Inc (SIRI) AI Stock Analysis
SIRI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSirius XM Holdings Inc (SIRI) provides subscription-based audio entertainment through satellite radio and digital streaming platforms. For FY2025, the company generated $8.56B in revenue and $805.0M in net income, rebounding from a -$1.67B net loss in FY2024. The stock offers a 4.00% dividend yield but carries $9.28B in net debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $9.09B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.60B
- P/E
- 10.8x fwd 8.1x
- 1Y return
- 32.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.23 23.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Sirius XM generated $1.25B in free cash flow and $1.90B in operating cash flow in FY2025.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.1x, below the US-listed Communication Services peer median of 14.1x.
- The company provides a 4.00% dividend yield backed by a manageable 34.4% payout ratio and 11 consecutive years of payments.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $9.46B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $9.28B against $174.0M in cash and short-term investments.
- Annual revenue contracted from $9.00B in FY2022 to $8.56B in FY2025, marking three consecutive years of top-line declines.
- The stock has returned -45.9% over the past 5 years, lagging the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Sirius XM does
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. provides subscription-based entertainment services across the United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Sirius XM and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment offers music, sports, entertainment, comedy, news, podcasts, and infotainment through satellite radio systems and mobile streaming apps, alongside automaker partnerships. The Pandora and Off-platform segment runs a music and podcast streaming service across mobile, vehicle, and connected devices, and distributes podcasts under the Stitcher brand. Sirius XM also provides connected vehicle location-based services, such as safety, security, remote diagnostics, and vehicle locator tools, in addition to satellite television.
Growth and profitability
Sirius XM grew revenue from $8.70B in FY2021 to $9.00B in FY2022, before declining to $8.95B in FY2023, $8.70B in FY2024, and $8.56B in FY2025. Gross margin decreased from 50.6% in FY2021 to 47.0% in FY2025. Operating margin dropped sharply to -17.4% in FY2024 before rebounding to 17.2% in FY2025, while net income swung from -$1.67B to $805.0M with diluted EPS of $2.86. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 1.0% year-over-year, and earnings grew 23.7%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $8.60B with an operating margin of 22.1% and net profit margin of 10.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Sirius XM held $174.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.46B, resulting in net debt of $9.28B. Shareholders' equity was $11.91B, with total assets of $27.18B. The company recorded a current ratio of 0.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.90B and free cash flow stood at $1.25B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $653.0M in capital expenditures, $365.0M in dividends paid, and $136.0M directed toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Sirius XM trades at a trailing P/E of 10.8x and a forward P/E of 8.1x, below the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers at 16.2x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA ratio stands at 8.1x versus the peer median of 10.0x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 1.1x compared to the peer median of 0.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 32.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. However, over a 5-year period, Sirius XM returned -45.9% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
SIRI dividend
Sirius XM pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.08, representing a dividend yield of 4.00%. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 14.9%. Its payout ratio stands at 34.4%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on August 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $33.23, representing an upside of 23.2% from the last close of $26.97. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $8.59B and EPS of $2.97, reflecting 33.1% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio sits at 0.46, indicating that short-term liquid assets are lower than short-term liabilities.
- Short interest accounts for 18.6% of the float, representing a notable volume of negative positioning.
- Gross margins narrowed from 50.6% in FY2021 to 47.0% in FY2025.
- Servicing $9.28B in net debt limits capital allocation flexibility alongside $653.0M in annual capital expenditures.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SIRI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Sirius XM Holdings Inc (SIRI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SIRI income statement, SIRI balance sheet, SIRI key metrics, SIRI analyst forecast, SIRI chart. See the SIRI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SIRI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Sirius XM's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Sirius XM pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.08 annually, which yields 4.00% as of October 16, 2026. The company maintains a payout ratio of 34.4% and has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years.
What are analysts' price targets and expectations for SIRI?
The mean analyst price target is $33.23, which is 23.2% above the last closing price of $26.97. For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.97 on revenue of $8.59B.
How much debt does Sirius XM have?
As of June 30, 2026, Sirius XM had $9.46B in total debt and $174.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $9.28B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79.
How has Sirius XM performed relative to the broader market?
Sirius XM gained 32.2% over the trailing 1-year period compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, but over 5 years the stock declined 45.9% while the benchmark rose 83.0%.