Millicom International Cellular S.A (TIGO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TIGOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TIGO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) is a telecommunications provider of cable and mobile services across Latin America and Africa. The company produced $7.25B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 20.7%, supported by a 58.1% year-to-date share price gain. However, balance sheet leverage is substantial, with $11.90B in total debt and net debt of $11.04B.

Market cap
$13.90B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.25B
P/E
20.9x
fwd 10.0x
1Y return
88.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$96.39
16.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve-month revenue grew to $7.25B, aided by a 59.4% year-over-year quarterly top-line expansion in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • FY2025 free cash flow reached $1.18B, supported by an operating margin of 28.2%.
  • Forward P/E of 10.0x and EV/EBITDA of 8.0x trade at discounts to the US-listed Communication Services peer medians of 14.1x and 10.0x.

Bear case

  • Millicom carries total debt of $11.90B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.70 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short-term liquidity is pressured, reflected in a current ratio of 0.53 and cash of $861.0M against net debt of $11.04B.
  • Quarterly earnings declined 84.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, while the dividend payout ratio is elevated at 109.3%.

What Millicom International Cellular S.A does

Millicom International Cellular S.A., headquartered in Luxembourg, provides cable and mobile services throughout Latin America and Africa under its Tigo and Tigo Business brands. Its mobile communications portfolio covers mobile data, voice, SMS, and mobile financial services such as payments, money transfers, and micro-insurance. Its residential cable operations deliver broadband, fixed voice, pay-TV, and digital content. For commercial and governmental clients, Millicom provides fixed and managed services, cloud infrastructure, and security solutions. As of December 31, 2021, Millicom served 44.9 million mobile subscribers and connected 12.7 million cable homes across its operating footprint.

Growth and profitability

Millicom expanded revenue from $4.26B in FY2021 to $5.82B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.9%. FY2025 revenue grew 0.3%, with gross margin reaching 77.5% and operating margin expanding to 28.2%. Net income increased to $1.32B in FY2025 from $253.0M in FY2024, resulting in diluted EPS of $4.32. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $7.25B with a profit margin of 9.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 59.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 84.0%.

TIGO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Millicom held $861.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $11.90B, leaving net debt at $11.04B. Total assets stood at $20.68B and shareholders' equity was $2.53B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.70 and a current ratio of 0.53. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.83B and free cash flow was $1.18B. Cash usage for FY2025 included $650.0M for capital expenditures, $754.0M in dividends paid, and $119.0M deployed into share buybacks.

TIGO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TIGO trades at a trailing P/E of 20.9x and a forward P/E of 10.0x, compared to medians of 16.2x and 14.1x for its US-listed Communication Services peers. Its enterprise value of $26.44B corresponds to an EV/EBITDA of 8.0x, below the peer median of 10.0x. The stock carries a price-to-sales ratio of 1.9x and a price-to-book ratio of 6.3x. Over the past year, Millicom generated a price return of 88.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, TIGO shares gained 173.1% versus 83.0% for SPY.

TIGO key metrics →

TIGO dividend

Millicom offers an annual forward dividend of $3.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.62%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency and have been paid for 2 consecutive years. The dividend payout ratio stands at 109.3%, and the company's last ex-dividend date was April 8, 2027.

TIGO dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target is $96.39, which sits 16.3% above the last close of $82.86. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.55 on revenue of $8.76B. For the subsequent year, 5 analysts project EPS of $7.05 on revenue of $9.15B. Millicom beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

TIGO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $11.90B against cash of $861.0M leaves the company with significant balance sheet leverage.
  • A working capital deficit is evidenced by a current ratio of 0.53 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly earnings dropped 84.0% year-over-year, indicating potential bottom-line volatility.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 109.3% exceeds trailing net earnings.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TIGO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Millicom International Cellular S.A (TIGO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TIGO income statement, TIGO balance sheet, TIGO key metrics, TIGO analyst forecast, TIGO chart. See the TIGO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TIGO AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Millicom's current dividend yield?

Millicom pays an annual forward dividend of $3.00 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.62% based on its last closing price of $82.86.

How much debt does Millicom hold?

As of June 30, 2026, Millicom had $11.90B in total debt and $861.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $11.04B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.70.

What is the consensus price target for TIGO stock?

The mean analyst price target is $96.39, representing an upside of 16.3% from the last close of $82.86. The stock has 1 Strong Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell rating.

When is Millicom's next earnings report?

Millicom is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.

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