The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: THGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

THG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) provides property and casualty insurance products across commercial and personal lines. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $6.60B with net income reaching $662.5M. THG maintains a solid financial foundation, holding net cash of $1.18B with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$8.11B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.76B
P/E
11.2x
fwd 11.1x
1Y return
41.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$235.88
1.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded to $1.17B in FY2025, supported by an operating cash flow of $1.18B.
  • The company holds a strong balance sheet with net cash of $1.18B and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 as of June 30, 2026.
  • THG outpaced the broader market with a 1-year return of 41.0% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500.

Bear case

  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS growth to decline by 4.4% to $19.64.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 4.3% in the latest quarter trails the peer median quarterly revenue growth of 10.1%.
  • The analyst consensus indicates limited perceived upside, with a mean price target of $235.88 representing just 1.2% above the last close.

What Hanover Insurance does

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. provides a comprehensive range of property and casualty insurance solutions across the United States. Tracing its history to 1852, the Worcester, Massachusetts-based company operates through Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, and Other segments, offering coverages ranging from commercial multiple peril to personal automobile insurance. The company distributes its insurance solutions through an extensive network of independent agents and brokers. Alongside its traditional insurance operations, The Hanover Insurance Group is exploring the adoption of cryptocurrencies to integrate innovative financial technologies and meet the preferences of a technologically savvy customer base.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $5.16B in FY2021 to $5.43B in FY2022, $5.96B in FY2023, $6.22B in FY2024, and $6.60B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.5%. Operating margin dipped to 0.7% in FY2023 before rebounding to 8.7% in FY2024 and 12.8% in FY2025. Net income expanded from $35.3M in FY2023 to $426.0M in FY2024 and $662.5M in FY2025, lifting EPS to $19.10. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $6.76B with an operating margin of 14.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 4.3% year-over-year while quarterly earnings growth reached 24.9%.

THG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, THG held $2.02B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $844.0M, resulting in net cash of $1.18B. The company recorded a current ratio of 122.53 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 alongside shareholders' equity of $3.67B. Operating cash flow totaled $1.18B in FY2025, funding capital expenditures of $7.7M and generating free cash flow of $1.17B. During FY2025, cash capital allocation included $129.2M in share buybacks and $130.6M in dividends paid.

THG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

THG trades at a trailing P/E of 11.2x and a forward P/E of 11.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x sits below the peer median of 3.2x, while its PEG ratio is 0.34. Over the past year, THG generated a return of 41.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, THG returned 94.7% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

THG key metrics →

THG dividend

THG offers an annual forward dividend of $3.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.63% and a payout ratio of 17.7%. The company pays dividends quarterly and has recorded 22 consecutive years of dividend payments, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 6.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.

THG dividend history →

What analysts expect

THG has 8 analyst ratings comprising 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $235.88, which stands 1.2% above the last close of $232.97. For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $20.54 on revenue of $6.74B, followed by FY2027 estimates of $19.64 in EPS and $7.05B in revenue. THG beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 28, 2026.

THG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Earnings volatility was evident in recent years, with net income falling from $422.8M in FY2021 to $35.3M in FY2023 before recovering.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 14.8% remains well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
  • The stock trades close to its 52-week high of $236.07 and 19.0% above its 200-day moving average, creating potential near-term valuation sensitivity.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this THG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: THG income statement, THG balance sheet, THG key metrics, THG analyst forecast, THG chart. See the THG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

THG AI stock analysis FAQ

What is The Hanover Insurance Group's dividend yield and payout history?

THG pays an annual forward dividend of $3.80, translating to a dividend yield of 1.63%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 17.7% and has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.6%.

How did THG perform financially in FY2025?

In FY2025, THG reported revenue of $6.60B, up 6.1% year-over-year, and net income of $662.5M, yielding diluted EPS of $19.10. Operating cash flow reached $1.18B, enabling $1.17B in free cash flow.

What are Wall Street analysts expecting for THG's future earnings?

For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $20.54 on revenue of $6.74B, reflecting 7.6% EPS growth. For FY2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.05B but an EPS contraction of 4.4% to $19.64.

How does THG's valuation compare to its peer group?

THG trades at a trailing P/E of 11.2x and a price-to-sales multiple of 1.2x. These compare to the medians of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which sit at a trailing P/E of 12.1x and price-to-sales of 3.2x.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis