Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) AI Stock Analysis
TALO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTalos Energy Inc. (TALO) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company operating in the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico. TTM revenue reached $1.98B with an operating margin of 34.4%, despite net losses generating a TTM EPS of -$2.36. The stock has delivered a 95.1% 1-year return, outpacing the broader market while maintaining solid free cash flow of $453.9M in FY2025.
- Market cap
- $2.97B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.98B
- P/E
- — fwd 15.1x
- 1Y return
- 95.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $21.22 19.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 56.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, driving TTM revenue to $1.98B.
- Free cash flow generation remained robust at $453.9M in FY2025, supported by $935.8M in operating cash flow.
- Analyst consensus targets $21.22 per share, representing a 19.4% upside potential from the last close of $17.77.
Bear case
- Net income deteriorated to -$496.4M in FY2025, leading to an EPS loss of -$0.86 and a TTM EPS of -$2.36.
- The 5-year share count rose 106.0%, creating meaningful dilution for existing shareholders.
- Quarterly earnings fell 38.1% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, following a negative FY2025 operating margin of -5.9%.
What Talos Energy does
Talos Energy Inc. operates as an independent exploration and production company focused on oil and natural gas properties in the United States Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company maximizes production and optimizes reserves using advanced recovery technologies. As of December 31, 2021, Talos reported proved reserves of 161.59 million barrels of oil equivalent, comprising 107,764 thousand barrels of crude oil, 236,353 million cubic feet of natural gas, and 14,435 thousand barrels of natural gas liquids.
Growth and profitability
Talos Energy grew revenue from $1.24B in FY2021 to $1.97B in FY2024 before declining 9.8% to $1.78B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 25.3%. Operating margin weakened over that period from 30.1% in FY2021 to -5.9% in FY2025, driving net income to -$496.4M and EPS to -$0.86. However, performance rebounded in the trailing twelve months with revenue of $1.98B and an operating margin of 34.4%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 56.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 38.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Talos Energy held $577.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.24B, resulting in net debt of $665.1M. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.03B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 and a current ratio of 1.61. For FY2025, operating cash flow reached $935.8M and free cash flow was $453.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $481.9M in capital expenditures and $119.5M in share buybacks, alongside a 5-year share count change of 106.0%.
Valuation and performance
TALO trades at a forward P/E of 15.1x, above the 12.7x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple sits at 4.5x, well below the peer group median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 1.5x versus the peer median of 1.8x. Talos Energy has an enterprise value of $3.43B and a market cap of $2.97B. Over the trailing 1-year period, TALO shares returned 95.1%, substantially beating the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 41.7% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on TALO includes 6 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $21.22 implies 19.4% upside compared to the last close of $17.77. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.30B and EPS of $1.20, representing EPS growth of 242.9%. For the next fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $2.36B and EPS of $1.49. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt stood at $1.24B as of June 30, 2026, requiring consistent cash flow to service its $665.1M in net debt.
- Gross margin exhibited extreme volatility, declining from 56.0% in FY2022 to just 2.9% in FY2025.
- Operating performance remains prone to sharp swings, as seen in the annual operating margin drop from 44.6% in FY2022 to -5.9% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TALO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Talos Energy Inc. (TALO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TALO income statement, TALO balance sheet, TALO key metrics, TALO analyst forecast, TALO chart. See the TALO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TALO AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Talos Energy pay a dividend?
No, Talos Energy does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company returned capital through $119.5M in share buybacks while spending $481.9M on capital expenditures.
What are analysts forecasting for Talos Energy's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $1.20 and revenue of $2.30B. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts forecast EPS to rise 24.0% to $1.49 on revenue of $2.36B.
How does TALO's valuation compare to other energy companies?
TALO trades at an EV/EBITDA of 4.5x, below the US-listed Energy median of 8.0x. Its forward P/E of 15.1x is higher than the peer group median of 12.7x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 1.5x compared to the peer median of 1.8x.
When is Talos Energy's next earnings report?
Talos Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 3, 2026. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.