Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: STZAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

STZ AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) is a global beverage company producing and marketing beer, wine, and spirits brands like Corona Extra and Modelo Especial. In FY2026, revenue fell 10.5% to $9.14B, but net income reached $1.69B alongside a trailing operating margin of 33.6%. The company carries $10.22B in net debt while offering a forward dividend yield of 3.14%.

Market cap
$22.23B
Revenue (TTM)
$9.21B
P/E
11.8x
fwd 10.0x
1Y return
-3.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$150.87
14.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company delivered quarterly earnings growth of 25.3% and quarterly revenue growth of 6.1% for the period ended August 31, 2026.
  • Constellation Brands trades at a forward P/E of 10.0x, below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers of 15.3x.
  • Share buybacks of $924.1M in FY2026 contributed to a 20.0% reduction in share count over 5 years.

Bear case

  • Revenue declined 10.5% in FY2026 to $9.14B from $10.21B in FY2025.
  • The balance sheet carries $10.32B in total debt with only $98.5M in cash and short-term investments as of August 31, 2026.
  • Long-term stock performance has lagged broader markets, producing a 5-year return of -34.1% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

What Constellation Brands does

Founded in 1945 and headquartered in Victor, New York, Constellation Brands, Inc. produces, imports, markets, and distributes beer, wine, and spirits. Its beer portfolio features brands such as Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, Pacifico, and Victoria. The company also markets wine labels including Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Robert Mondavi, and The Prisoner Wine Company, as well as spirits like Casa Noble Tequila, High West Whiskey, and SVEDKA Vodka. Constellation distributes its products across the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy, serving wholesale distributors, retail outlets, on-premise locations, and state alcohol control agencies.

Growth and profitability

Constellation Brands grew annual revenue from $8.82B in FY2022 to $10.21B in FY2025 before revenue fell 10.5% to $9.14B in FY2026. Its 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2021 to FY2026 stands at 1.2%. Gross margin remained steady, registering 52.1% in FY2022 and 51.6% in FY2026. Annual net income fluctuated from -$40.4M in FY2022 and -$81.4M in FY2025 to positive net income of $1.69B in FY2026, which yielded an operating margin of 31.3% and EPS of $11.81. For the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 6.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth reached 25.3%.

STZ income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of August 31, 2026, Constellation Brands held $98.5M in cash and short-term investments against $10.32B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $10.22B. Total assets stood at $22.06B, with shareholders' equity at $8.59B, a current ratio of 1.00, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20. In FY2026, the company generated $2.67B in operating cash flow and $1.79B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $875.0M, while capital returns included $924.1M in share buybacks and $715.7M in dividends paid.

STZ balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $131.35 on October 16, 2026, Constellation Brands has a market cap of $22.23B and an enterprise value of $30.34B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.8x and a forward P/E of 10.0x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers of 23.5x and 15.3x. Its EV/EBITDA of 9.3x also sits below the peer median of 14.8x, though its price-to-sales of 2.4x is higher than the peer median of 1.6x. Over the past year, the stock returned -3.0%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

STZ key metrics →

STZ dividend

Constellation Brands pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $4.12, equating to a dividend yield of 3.14% and a payout ratio of 33.9%. The company has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years, generating a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.3%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.

STZ dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 11 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 8 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $150.87, representing a 14.9% upside compared to the last close of $131.35. For the current fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $9.12B and EPS of $11.82. For the next fiscal year, 23 analysts project revenue of $9.25B with EPS of $12.10. Over the last 4 quarters, the company delivered 4 EPS beats.

STZ forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20 and net debt of $10.22B create ongoing financial leverage to monitor.
  • Net income has shown volatility, dropping to -$81.4M in FY2025 before rebounding to $1.69B in FY2026.
  • Five-year revenue CAGR from FY2021 to FY2026 was modest at 1.2%, signaling subdued top-line expansion.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this STZ AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: STZ income statement, STZ balance sheet, STZ key metrics, STZ analyst forecast, STZ chart. See the STZ stock overview for the latest quote and news.

STZ AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Constellation Brands pay a dividend?

Yes, Constellation Brands pays a quarterly dividend of $4.12 annualized, providing a dividend yield of 3.14% with a payout ratio of 33.9%. The company has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years.

What is the debt profile of Constellation Brands?

As of August 31, 2026, the company held $98.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside $10.32B in total debt, leading to net debt of $10.22B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20.

What are analysts forecasting for STZ stock?

Analysts maintain 11 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 8 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings, with a mean price target of $150.87 that sits 14.9% above the last close of $131.35. For the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, consensus estimates anticipate EPS of $11.82 on revenue of $9.12B.

How did Constellation Brands perform in FY2026?

In FY2026, revenue fell 10.5% to $9.14B, while net income rose to $1.69B with EPS of $11.81. The company also generated $1.79B in free cash flow and returned $924.1M through share buybacks.

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