The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SAMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SAM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) is a US producer of alcoholic beverages known for brands including Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, and Truly Hard Seltzer. In FY2025, revenue reached $2.09B with net income of $108.5M, but trailing twelve month revenue moderated to $1.93B alongside an EPS of -$6.67. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $234.0M in net cash and repurchased $204.9M of its shares in FY2025.

Market cap
$1.88B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.93B
P/E
—
fwd 16.4x
1Y return
-19.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$194.31
7.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Boston Beer holds a net cash balance of $234.0M supported by $265.5M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • In FY2025, the company generated $215.6M in free cash flow while deploying $204.9M toward share repurchases.
  • The stock's EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 7.8x trades at a discount to the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer median of 11.7x.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve month performance turned negative with an EPS of -$6.67 and a net profit margin of -3.6%.
  • In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.3% year-over-year while quarterly earnings dropped 9.0%.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 24.5%.

What Boston Beer does

Established in 1984 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, The Boston Beer Company, Inc. produces and distributes alcoholic beverages primarily in the United States. Its brand portfolio features flagship beer Samuel Adams Boston Lager, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, Angry Orchard, and Dogfish Head, as well as Angel City, Coney Island, and Concrete Beach. Boston Beer sells products through approximately 400 wholesalers to retailers such as grocery stores, club stores, convenience stores, restaurants, and stadiums. The company also exports products internationally to regions including Canada, Europe, Australia, and Latin America.

Growth and profitability

From FY2021 to FY2025, Boston Beer expanded revenue from $2.06B to $2.09B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.7%. Profitability improved over this period, with gross margin rising from 38.8% in FY2021 to 45.6% in FY2025, while net income increased from $14.6M to $108.5M. In FY2025, operating margin reached 6.9% and diluted EPS was $9.74. However, performance slowed in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, as quarterly revenue fell 3.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 9.0%. Trailing twelve month results show revenue of $1.93B and an EPS of -$6.67, reflecting a profit margin of -3.6%.

SAM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Boston Beer held $265.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $31.6M, resulting in net cash of $234.0M. The company maintains conservative leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and a current ratio of 1.05. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $270.2M and free cash flow reached $215.6M. Capital allocation in FY2025 prioritized capital expenditures of $54.6M and share buybacks of $204.9M, supporting a 5-year share count reduction of 16.4%.

SAM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Boston Beer trades at a forward P/E of 16.4x, above the 14.3x median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x also trades at a premium to the peer median of 0.7x, though its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 7.8x sits below the peer median of 11.7x. The company has an enterprise value of $1.49B and a market cap of $1.88B. Over the past year, SAM stock fell 19.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the shares dropped 64.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.

SAM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment is predominantly neutral, with 11 Hold ratings, 1 Strong Buy, and 1 Strong Sell among analysts. The mean price target is $194.31, representing a 7.5% upside from the last close of $180.82. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.92B and EPS of $8.93, a decline of 9.7%. Boston Beer exceeded EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is scheduled for October 22, 2026.

SAM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company has struggled to match earnings expectations, beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • SAM shares declined 64.6% over the past 5 years while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
  • Consensus estimates for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026 project EPS to contract 9.7% to $8.93.
  • The stock trades 9.4% below its 200-day moving average and well below its 52-week high of $264.46.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SAM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SAM income statement, SAM balance sheet, SAM key metrics, SAM analyst forecast, SAM chart. See the SAM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SAM AI stock analysis FAQ

Does The Boston Beer Company pay a dividend?

The company does not report a dividend. Shareholder distributions have instead been executed through share buybacks, which totaled $204.9M in FY2025.

What is Boston Beer's cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Boston Beer held $265.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside $31.6M in total debt, giving it net cash of $234.0M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.04.

What are analysts forecasting for SAM's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $8.93 on revenue of $1.92B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 13 analysts forecast EPS of $10.11 on $1.92B in revenue.

What is the mean analyst price target for SAM?

The mean price target is $194.31, which is 7.5% above the last close price of $180.82 recorded on October 16, 2026.

When does Boston Beer report earnings next?

The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for October 22, 2026.

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