Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: FMXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FMX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Fomento Económico Mexicano (FMX) is a diversified Latin American beverage bottler and retail conglomerate. The company generated $872.84B in trailing twelve-month revenue, with latest quarter revenue growing 9.3% year-over-year. As of June 30, 2026, it held a substantial net cash position of $102.08B.

Market cap
$43.08B
Revenue (TTM)
$872.84B
P/E
9.0x
fwd 89.3x
1Y return
41.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$135.64
7.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings jumped 107.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company maintained a solid balance sheet with $102.08B in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
  • FMX returned 41.4% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%.

Bear case

  • The stock carries a high forward P/E of 89.3x compared to its peer median of 14.3x.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands elevated at 143.4% relative to net earnings.
  • FEMSA beat EPS estimates in only 1 of the trailing 4 quarters.

What Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. does

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FEMSA) operates as a major Coca-Cola bottler and distributor across several Latin American countries, including Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, and Argentina. The company also operates an extensive network of small-box retail convenience stores under the OXXO brand throughout Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile, and Brazil. Additionally, FEMSA runs OXXO GAS service stations in Mexico and manages drugstore chains such as Cruz Verde, Fybeca, and SanaSana across Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Mexico. Its operations also encompass refrigeration manufacturing, food processing equipment, and logistics services across the Americas.

Growth and profitability

FEMSA's annual revenue rose from $505.46B in FY2021 to $702.69B in FY2023 before dropping to $37.49B in FY2024, followed by a 24.4% rebound to $46.65B in FY2025. Net income was $1.08B in FY2025 with a net margin of 2.3%, down from $28.50B in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $872.84B, with an operating margin of 8.0% and EPS of $14.08. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 107.5%.

FMX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, FEMSA held $116.55B in cash and short-term investments against $14.47B in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $102.08B. The company had a current ratio of 1.14 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17 on shareholders' equity of $12.39B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $3.94B, supporting $2.33B in capital expenditures and generating $1.61B in free cash flow. Capital returns in FY2025 included $2.77B in dividends paid and $685.8M in share buybacks.

Valuation and performance

FMX closed at $126.46 on October 16, 2026, up 41.4% over the prior year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, FMX returned 85.7% against 83.0% for SPY. The company trades at a trailing P/E of 9.0x, below the 18.6x median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. However, its forward P/E stands at 89.3x compared to the peer median of 14.3x. Its EV-to-EBITDA is 9.9x versus the peer median of 11.7x.

FMX key metrics →

FMX dividend

FEMSA pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward dividend of $4.57 per share, yielding 3.61%. The dividend has been paid for 12 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 36.3%. Its payout ratio is 143.4%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was October 14, 2026.

FMX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover FMX with 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 7 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $135.64 indicates a 7.3% upside compared to the last close of $126.46. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.63 and revenue of $903.52B. For FY2027, 6 analysts project EPS of $5.21 and revenue of $972.35B. FEMSA beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.

FMX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year EPS to fall 7.5% to $5.21.
  • The 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 was -37.6%, reflecting historical top-line volatility.
  • Debt-to-equity is 1.17 with total debt of $14.47B on shareholders' equity of $12.39B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FMX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FMX income statement, FMX key metrics, FMX analyst forecast, FMX chart. See the FMX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FMX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is FEMSA's dividend yield and payout ratio?

FEMSA provides a forward dividend yield of 3.61% based on an annual forward dividend of $4.57. Its dividend payout ratio stands at 143.4%.

What was FEMSA's recent quarterly revenue growth?

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 107.5%.

How much cash and debt does FEMSA hold?

As of June 30, 2026, FEMSA held $116.55B in cash and short-term investments and $14.47B in total debt, leaving a net cash position of $102.08B.

What is the Wall Street analyst price target for FMX?

The mean analyst price target is $135.64, representing a 7.3% upside from the stock's closing price of $126.46 on October 16, 2026.

More Consumer Defensive AI stock analysis