Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SPIRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SPIR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) provides satellite constellation data analytics monitoring maritime, aviation, weather, and space domains. While five-year revenue CAGR through FY2025 reached 20.2%, trailing twelve-month revenue stands at $62.4M with an operating margin of -107.3%. As of June 30, 2026, the company holds net cash of $84.9M and carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05.

Market cap
$350.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$62.4M
P/E
—
1Y return
-25.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$20.88
133.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Spire maintains a low leverage profile with $84.9M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus projects revenue to grow 24.6% to $99.7M in the next fiscal year, with all 4 covering analysts rating the stock a Strong Buy.
  • The stock's EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 7.8x trades at a discount to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 13.9x.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue dropped 35.2% in FY2025 to $71.6M, followed by a 5.9% year-over-year revenue drop in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow burn widened to -$92.6M in FY2025 alongside an operating cash flow loss of -$59.8M.
  • Shareholders experienced substantial dilution as the five-year share count increased by 96.3%.

What Spire Global does

Spire Global, Inc., based in San Francisco, California, specializes in developing hardware and data analytics platforms that monitor oceans, skies, and weather patterns. Founded in 2012 as Nanosatisfi, Inc. and rebranded in July 2014, the company deploys a proprietary satellite constellation. Its satellites collect real-time data on atmospheric and oceanic conditions to serve maritime, weather forecasting, aviation, space services, earth intelligence, and federal sectors. Spire also engages in strategic collaborations, including working with TAC Index Limited to integrate satellite analytics into transportation and logistics applications, while maintaining international offices in Boulder, Washington, D.C., Glasgow, Luxembourg, and Singapore.

Growth and profitability

Spire expanded revenue from $43.4M in FY2021 to $110.5M in FY2024 before revenue declined 35.2% to $71.6M in FY2025. Gross margin was 40.8% in FY2025, while operating margin was -121.4%. Net income was $51.3M in FY2025, contrasting with -$102.8M in FY2024, though diluted EPS remained negative at -$1.98. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth declined 5.9% year-over-year. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $62.4M with an operating margin of -107.3%, a profit margin of -145.2%, and an EPS of -$2.75.

SPIR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Spire Global held $91.7M in cash and short-term investments and $6.8M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $84.9M. Shareholders' equity was $144.3M against total assets of $226.7M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 and a current ratio of 1.87. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$59.8M and capital expenditures were $32.8M, bringing free cash flow to -$92.6M. Over five years, the company's share count increased 96.3%.

SPIR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Spire trades at an enterprise value of $395.6M and a market cap of $350.1M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 5.6x, compared to the median of 1.5x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA multiple sits at 7.8x, below the sector peer median of 13.9x. The stock closed at $8.95 on October 16, 2026, down 35.3% versus its 200-day average. Over the past year, the stock fell 25.2%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%.

SPIR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 0 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $20.88, representing a 133.2% upside compared to the last close of $8.95. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $80.0M and EPS of -$1.01. For the subsequent fiscal year, 2 analysts estimate revenue of $99.7M and EPS of -$0.39. Over the last four quarters, Spire has beaten EPS estimates 2 times.

SPIR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at -107.3%, highlighting ongoing operational losses.
  • The stock has a beta of 2.81, indicating high volatility compared to the broader market.
  • Short interest accounts for 10.3% of the float, reflecting negative market sentiment.
  • A persistent negative free cash flow of -$92.6M in FY2025 poses a risk to the company's $91.7M cash balance.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SPIR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SPIR income statement, SPIR balance sheet, SPIR key metrics, SPIR analyst forecast, SPIR chart. See the SPIR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SPIR AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Spire Global pay a dividend?

Spire Global does not pay a dividend.

What is Spire Global's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Spire Global held $91.7M in cash and short-term investments and $6.8M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $84.9M.

What are analysts' price targets for SPIR?

The mean analyst price target is $20.88, which is 133.2% above the last closing price of $8.95 on October 16, 2026.

How has SPIR stock performed over the past year?

SPIR returned -25.2% over the trailing one-year period, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%.

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