Maximus, Inc. (MMS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MMSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MMS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Maximus, Inc. (MMS) provides business process services for government health and human services programs worldwide. The company generated $5.25B in trailing twelve-month revenue, but quarterly revenue declined 5.1% year-over-year as of June 30, 2026. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1x following a 1-year return of -25.3%.

Market cap
$3.22B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.25B
P/E
9.1x
fwd 19.1x
1Y return
-25.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$92.50
50.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing P/E of 9.1x and EV/EBITDA of 6.4x trade well below US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.
  • Free cash flow generation was strong at $366.2M in FY2025, supporting $447.5M in share repurchases.
  • Wall Street consensus points to a mean price target of $92.50, implying 50.5% upside over the $61.47 share price.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue contracted 5.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt stands at $1.67B against a cash balance of just $57.0M.
  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks significantly, delivering a 1-year return of -25.3% versus a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.

What Maximus does

Maximus, Inc. specializes in providing business process services tailored for government health and human services programs globally. It operates through three main segments: U.S. Services, U.S. Federal Services, and Outside the U.S. The U.S. Services segment delivers program eligibility support, enrollment facilitation, customer contact centers, health plan counseling, beneficiary outreach, disability assessments, and employment services. The U.S. Federal Services segment supports federal programs with eligibility, clinical solutions, modernization, cybersecurity, and infrastructure engineering. Outside the U.S., Maximus offers tailored business process solutions to international governments and commercial clients, including health assessments and disability program administration.

Growth and profitability

Maximus grew revenue from $4.25B in FY2021 to $5.43B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.4%. Operating margin expanded to 10.6% in FY2025 from 6.0% in FY2023, while net income reached $319.0M with diluted EPS of $7.40 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $5.25B and operating margin stood at 12.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 4.8%.

MMS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Maximus held $57.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.73B, resulting in net debt of $1.67B. Shareholders' equity was $1.74B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 and a current ratio of 2.42. In FY2025, the company generated $429.4M in operating cash flow and $366.2M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $63.2M in capital expenditures, $68.7M paid in dividends, and $447.5M used for share buybacks.

MMS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Maximus trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 6.4x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Its forward P/E is 19.1x, above the peer median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.6x sits below the peer median of 1.5x. The stock has delivered a 1-year return of -25.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8% over the same period.

MMS key metrics →

MMS dividend

Maximus pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.32 per share, yielding 2.15% at the last close of $61.47. The dividend payout ratio stands at 17.0%, and dividends have been paid consecutively for 22 years. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized at 1.4%, with the last ex-dividend date set for November 13, 2026.

MMS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Maximus has 2 Buy ratings, 0 Strong Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $92.50, representing an upside of 50.5% from the last close of $61.47. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $8.01 on revenue of $5.23B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 19, 2026.

MMS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 11.6% of the float, pointing to elevated market skepticism.
  • Cash reserves of $57.0M are limited relative to $1.73B in total debt obligations.
  • Forward P/E of 19.1x exceeds its trailing P/E of 9.1x, reflecting expectations of lower near-term earnings.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MMS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Maximus, Inc. (MMS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MMS income statement, MMS balance sheet, MMS key metrics, MMS analyst forecast, MMS chart. See the MMS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MMS AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Maximus pay?

Maximus pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.32 annually per share, which represents a dividend yield of 2.15% and a payout ratio of 17.0%.

What is Maximus's debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Maximus had total debt of $1.73B and cash of $57.0M, resulting in net debt of $1.67B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99.

How did Maximus perform in its latest reported quarter?

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 4.8%.

What is the consensus analyst target for MMS stock?

The mean analyst price target is $92.50 across 2 Buy ratings, which is 50.5% above the last close price of $61.47.

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