Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) AI Stock Analysis
AMTM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAmentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) is an engineering and technology solutions provider serving government and commercial clients across defense, intelligence, and environmental markets. Revenue expanded at a 4-year CAGR of 29.7% through FY2025, reaching $14.39B following significant business expansion. However, trailing margins remain thin, with an operating margin of 4.4% and net debt standing at $3.37B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $4.77B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.13B
- P/E
- 23.5x fwd 7.5x
- 1Y return
- -13.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $29.33 50.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow generation strengthened significantly in FY2025, reaching $516.0M on capital expenditures of just $27.0M.
- Valuation multiples appear low relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 7.5x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
- The company has demonstrated steady execution against earnings forecasts, delivering EPS beats in each of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Revenue growth has stalled in the near term, with quarterly revenue falling 2.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Profitability remains low, highlighted by a TTM profit margin of 1.4% and an operating margin of 4.4% that trails the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
- The balance sheet carries substantial leverage, with net debt of $3.37B and total debt of $3.83B as of June 30, 2026.
What Amentum does
Amentum Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of engineering and technology solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions. The company provides digital and data-driven solutions, including intelligence analytics, space system development, cybersecurity, and IT to the federal government and commercial clients. Additionally, it offers large-scale environmental remediation, nuclear power solutions, platform engineering, sustainment, and supply chain management for the U.S. government and allied nations.
Growth and profitability
Amentum delivered a 4-year revenue CAGR of 29.7% from FY2021 to FY2025, with revenue rising from $5.09B to $14.39B. Growth peaked in FY2025 with a 71.6% surge in revenue, moving net income back into positive territory at $66.0M after three consecutive years of losses, including -$82.0M in FY2024 and -$314.0M in FY2023. Gross margin has compressed over time, dropping from 15.5% in FY2021 to 7.2% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $14.13B with an operating margin of 4.4% and a profit margin of 1.4%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 575.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Amentum held $459.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.83B, resulting in net debt of $3.37B. Total assets stood at $11.20B against shareholders' equity of $4.70B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81 and a current ratio of 1.52. Operating cash flow improved sharply in FY2025 to $543.0M from $47.0M in FY2024. Capital expenditures remained modest at $27.0M in FY2025, generating free cash flow of $516.0M.
Valuation and performance
At $19.52 per share, Amentum holds a market cap of $4.77B and an enterprise value of $8.19B. It trades at a forward P/E of 7.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.1x, both at a discount to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers (17.2x and 13.9x, respectively). Its trailing P/E stands at 23.5x compared to the peer median of 24.8x. Over the past year, the stock declined 13.9%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY), which gained 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $29.33 suggests an upside of 50.3% over the last close of $19.52. Consensus estimates project EPS of $2.46 on revenue of $13.91B for the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, followed by EPS of $2.64 on revenue of $14.05B next fiscal year. Amentum has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 23, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margins have exhibited a steady downward trend, shrinking from 15.5% in FY2021 to 7.2% in FY2025.
- Share price momentum is weak, with AMTM down 32.7% year-to-date and trading 22.0% below its 200-day moving average.
- The company has a history of bottom-line volatility, posting net losses in FY2022 (-$84.0M), FY2023 (-$314.0M), and FY2024 (-$82.0M).
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AMTM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AMTM income statement, AMTM balance sheet, AMTM key metrics, AMTM analyst forecast, AMTM chart. See the AMTM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AMTM AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Amentum's revenue and net income in FY2025?
In FY2025, Amentum generated $14.39B in revenue, an increase of 71.6% over the prior year, and reported net income of $66.0M.
Does Amentum pay a dividend?
Amentum does not currently pay a dividend based on the provided data.
What is the consensus price target for AMTM stock?
The mean analyst price target is $29.33, which is 50.3% above its last closing price of $19.52.
How much debt does Amentum have?
As of June 30, 2026, Amentum had total debt of $3.83B and cash and short-term investments of $459.0M, resulting in net debt of $3.37B.