South Bow Corporation (SOBO) AI Stock Analysis
SOBO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSouth Bow Corporation (SOBO) is a Canadian energy infrastructure company operating the Keystone Pipeline System and regional midstream assets. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.00B in revenue with an operating margin of 43.8% and net income margin of 23.0%. SOBO shares returned 39.3% over the past year while carrying $5.73B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $7.24B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.00B
- P/E
- 15.8x fwd 17.5x
- 1Y return
- 39.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $34.63 -0.2% vs last close
Bull case
- SOBO returned 39.3% over the past year, substantially outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
- For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company posted quarterly earnings growth YoY of 39.1% alongside a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 43.8%.
- The company generated $548.4M in free cash flow in FY2025 while supporting a forward dividend yield of 5.77%.
Bear case
- Annual revenue contracted from $2.66B in FY2023 to $1.99B in FY2025, recording a 2-year revenue CAGR of -13.6%.
- South Bow carries total debt of $5.73B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.15 as of June 30, 2026.
- The company trades at a forward P/E of 17.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 10.9x, above the US-listed Energy peer medians of 12.7x and 8.0x, respectively.
What South Bow does
South Bow Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company across three main segments: Keystone Pipeline System, Marketing, and Intra-Alberta & Other. The Keystone Pipeline System segment transports crude oil from Hardisty, Alberta, to U.S. markets including Wood River, Patoka, Illinois, Cushing, Oklahoma, and the Gulf Coast. The Marketing segment provides physical crude oil trading, hedging, transportation, storage, and logistics services. The Intra-Alberta & Other segment includes pipelines such as the Grand Rapids Pipeline and White Spruce Pipeline, transporting crude from Alberta's oil sands. Overall, the company operates 4,900 kilometres of crude oil pipeline infrastructure connecting Alberta supplies to U.S. refining markets, alongside ancillary storage terminal services.
Growth and profitability
South Bow's annual revenue contracted over recent fiscal periods, moving from $2.66B in FY2023 to $2.12B in FY2024, representing a decline of 20.2%, and then to $1.99B in FY2025, a decrease of 6.3%. This represents a 2-year revenue compound annual growth rate of -13.6% from FY2023 to FY2025. Net income was $585.9M in FY2023, fell to $316.0M in FY2024, and rebounded to $433.0M in FY2025 with an operating margin of 36.0% and EPS of $1.97. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth YoY was 4.2%, while quarterly earnings growth YoY reached 39.1%. Across the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.00B with an operating margin of 43.8% and EPS of $2.20.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, South Bow held $726.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.73B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.01B. Total assets stood at $11.38B and shareholders' equity was $2.67B, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.15 and a current ratio of 1.52. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $729.6M, which supported capital expenditures of $181.1M and generated free cash flow of $548.4M. That same year, the company allocated $423.3M toward dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
South Bow trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and a forward P/E of 17.5x, both above the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $12.19B translates to an EV/EBITDA of 10.9x, compared to the peer median of 8.0x. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 3.6x, compared to 1.8x for US-listed Energy peers. Over the past year, SOBO stock returned 39.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
SOBO dividend
South Bow pays an annual dividend forward of $2.00 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 5.77% on a quarterly schedule. The stock has recorded 3 consecutive years paid. The payout ratio stands at 99.0%, and the last ex-dividend date was September 29, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst ratings comprise 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 9 Hold, 2 Sell, and 4 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $34.63 sits 0.2% below the last close of $34.69. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.98B and an EPS of $1.82, representing an EPS decline of 7.7%. For the next fiscal year, 13 analysts project revenue of $2.02B and EPS of $1.94. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's high payout ratio of 99.0% leaves minimal headroom for dividend coverage if cash flows drop below FY2025 dividends paid of $423.3M.
- South Bow carries net debt of $5.01B against cash and short-term investments of $726.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst sentiment includes 4 Strong Sell and 2 Sell ratings against a mean price target of $34.63, which is 0.2% below the last close of $34.69.
- Current fiscal year estimates anticipate EPS to decline 7.7% to $1.82 on projected revenue of $1.98B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SOBO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of South Bow Corporation (SOBO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SOBO income statement, SOBO balance sheet, SOBO key metrics, SOBO analyst forecast, SOBO chart. See the SOBO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SOBO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is South Bow's dividend yield and payment schedule?
South Bow pays a forward annual dividend of $2.00 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 5.77%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with a payout ratio of 99.0%.
How much debt does South Bow carry?
As of June 30, 2026, South Bow had total debt of $5.73B and cash and short-term investments of $726.0M, resulting in net debt of $5.01B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 2.15.
What are analysts expecting for South Bow's upcoming earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.82 and revenue of $1.98B. The company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
How does South Bow's valuation compare to other energy companies?
South Bow trades at a forward P/E of 17.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 10.9x, both higher than the US-listed Energy peer medians of 12.7x and 8.0x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.6x compared to the peer median of 1.8x.