Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI) AI Stock Analysis
SIGI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSelective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI) is a US property and casualty insurer operating across commercial, personal, and excess and surplus lines alongside an investment portfolio. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.47B in revenue with net income of $466.4M reported in FY2025. It trades at a trailing P/E of 10.9x and maintains a 44-year dividend track record.
- Market cap
- $5.31B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.47B
- P/E
- 10.9x fwd 9.8x
- 1Y return
- 12.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $100.14 12.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating cash flow reached $1.23B and free cash flow stood at $1.19B in FY2025, providing substantial internal liquidity.
- Earnings showed strong recent momentum, with quarterly earnings expanding 55.1% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a PEG ratio of 0.28 and a forward P/E of 9.8x, both presenting a discount relative to the US-listed Financial Services median forward P/E of 10.8x.
Bear case
- Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to contract by 0.2% to $5.44B, signaling flat top-line growth.
- The stock has trailed the broader market, returning 22.7% over 5 years compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
- Profitability has been volatile in recent periods, as net income dropped to $207.0M in FY2024 before recovering to $466.4M in FY2025.
What Selective Insurance does
Established in 1926 and headquartered in Branchville, New Jersey, Selective Insurance Group, Inc. operates across four primary segments: Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, E&S Lines, and Investments. The company provides property, casualty, and flood insurance coverage to businesses, non-profits, local government agencies, and individuals to mitigate financial risks from property damage and liability claims. Additionally, Selective manages an investment portfolio spanning fixed income securities, commercial mortgage loans, equity securities, and alternative investments.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 12.8%, climbing from $3.38B in FY2021 to $5.34B in FY2025. Annual net income fluctuated over this span, dipping to $207.0M in FY2024 before rebounding to $466.4M in FY2025, when operating margin reached 11.0% and EPS stood at $7.39. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $5.47B with an operating margin of 12.7% and a profit margin of 9.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 55.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Selective held $379.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $901.0M, resulting in net debt of $521.5M. Total assets stood at $15.62B against shareholders' equity of $3.66B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 and a current ratio of 0.22. During FY2025, the company produced $1.23B in operating cash flow and $1.19B in free cash flow. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $38.7M for capital expenditures, $92.6M for share buybacks, and $102.1M paid in dividends.
Valuation and performance
Selective Insurance trades at a trailing P/E of 10.9x and a forward P/E of 9.8x, both below the US-listed Financial Services median of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.0x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book sits at 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 12.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock's 22.7% return lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%. The stock carries a low beta of 0.25.
SIGI dividend
The company pays a forward annual dividend of $1.72 per share, representing a 1.93% dividend yield and a 21.6% payout ratio. Selective has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.8%. Distributions are made quarterly, with the most recent ex-dividend date on August 17, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 8 ratings: 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 5 Holds, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $100.14, representing an implied upside of 12.3% from the last close of $89.16. For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $8.27 on revenue of $5.45B. For FY2027, 8 analysts project EPS of $8.76 and revenue of $5.44B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the trailing 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio stood at 0.22 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting low short-term liquidity relative to short-term obligations.
- Earnings consistency is mixed, with the company beating analyst EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- Operating margin TTM of 12.7% remains substantially below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SIGI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SIGI income statement, SIGI balance sheet, SIGI key metrics, SIGI analyst forecast, SIGI chart. See the SIGI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SIGI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Selective Insurance Group's dividend yield and track record?
Selective Insurance pays a forward annual dividend of $1.72 per share, which equals a 1.93% yield. It has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized growth rate of 10.8% and a payout ratio of 21.6%.
How does SIGI valuation compare to peers?
SIGI trades at a forward P/E of 9.8x and a price-to-sales of 1.0x. This is lower than the US-listed Financial Services median forward P/E of 10.8x and median price-to-sales of 3.2x.
What is the consensus analyst target for SIGI stock?
The mean analyst price target is $100.14, which is 12.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $89.16. Among the 8 analyst ratings, there are 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 5 Holds, and 1 Strong Sell.
What are Selective Insurance's revenue and earnings forecasts?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect revenue of $5.45B and EPS of $8.27. For the following fiscal year, estimates project revenue of $5.44B and EPS of $8.76.