Sunrun Inc. (RUN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: RUNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RUN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Sunrun Inc. provides residential solar energy and battery storage systems across the United States. While revenue grew 45.1% to $2.96B in FY2025 alongside a return to profitability with net income of $449.9M, the company carries $15.21B in total debt as of June 30, 2026. Cash generation remains negative, with free cash flow of -$423.2M in FY2025.

Market cap
$1.76B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.48B
P/E
4.9x
fwd 7.9x
1Y return
-63.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$14.64
100.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 52.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Sunrun returned to profitability in FY2025 with net income of $449.9M and gross margin expansion to 26.8%.
  • The consensus analyst mean price target of $14.64 represents a 100.5% premium to the last close of $7.30.

Bear case

  • Total debt reached $15.21B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36.
  • The business continued to burn cash in FY2025, generating free cash flow of -$423.2M and operating cash flow of -$421.4M.
  • Analysts estimate earnings per share will decline 62.9% to $0.52 in the next fiscal year.

What Sunrun does

Sunrun Inc. specializes in providing residential solar energy solutions for homeowners across the United States. The company handles every phase of solar adoption, including design, development, installation, sale, ownership, and maintenance of residential solar systems. Alongside solar panels and racking, Sunrun provides battery storage solutions to enable customers to store and manage solar electricity. It markets systems through direct-to-consumer channels such as online platforms, retail partnerships, mass media campaigns, digital advertising, canvassing, field marketing initiatives, and referral programs, as well as an extensive partner network.

Growth and profitability

Sunrun generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 26.2% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $1.61B in FY2021 to $2.32B in FY2022, before retreating to $2.26B in FY2023 and $2.04B in FY2024. Revenue rebounded 45.1% to $2.96B in FY2025, with gross margin rising to 26.8% and net income reaching $449.9M, compared to net income of -$2.85B in FY2024. Operating margin was -4.3% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $3.48B with an operating margin of 4.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 52.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 60.7%.

RUN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Sunrun held $712.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $15.21B, resulting in net debt of $14.49B. The company recorded a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36 and a current ratio of 1.42. Free cash flow was -$423.2M in FY2025, improving from -$3.47B in FY2024, while operating cash flow was -$421.4M. Capital expenditures were $1.8M in FY2025, and Sunrun's share count increased 32.1% over 5 years.

RUN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Sunrun trades at a trailing P/E of 4.9x and a forward P/E of 7.9x, both below the US-listed Technology peer median of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple of 0.5x sits below the peer median of 2.8x, while its EV/EBITDA of 18.7x is above the peer median of 16.6x. Over the past year, RUN stock fell 63.8% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500. Over 5 years, the stock dropped 85.0% versus an 83.0% gain for the benchmark index.

RUN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst ratings include 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 9 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $14.64 implies an upside of 100.5% from the last close of $7.30. Consensus estimates for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, call for revenue of $3.10B and EPS of $1.40. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $3.21B and EPS of $0.52. Sunrun beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

RUN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $14.49B creates substantial balance sheet leverage compared to a market capitalization of $1.76B.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 60.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reflecting potential earnings instability.
  • Elevated short interest of 35.2% of float and a beta of 2.44 point to significant ongoing stock price volatility.
  • A 32.1% increase in share count over 5 years demonstrates ongoing equity dilution to support the business.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RUN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Sunrun Inc. (RUN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RUN income statement, RUN balance sheet, RUN key metrics, RUN analyst forecast, RUN chart. See the RUN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RUN AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Sunrun pay a dividend?

No, Sunrun does not pay a dividend.

How much debt does Sunrun have?

As of June 30, 2026, Sunrun had $15.21B in total debt and $712.4M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $14.49B.

What is the consensus price target for RUN stock?

The analyst mean price target is $14.64, which is 100.5% above the last close price of $7.30.

When is Sunrun's next earnings report?

Sunrun's next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

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