SunPower Corporation (SPWR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SPWRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SPWR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

SunPower Corporation is a solar technology and energy services provider offering residential, commercial, and industrial energy solutions. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $283.1M in revenue alongside an operating margin of -42.8%. Its balance sheet holds $4.1M in cash against $132.0M in total debt, leaving the business with negative shareholders' equity of -$26.3M.

Market cap
$78.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$283.1M
P/E
—
1Y return
-86.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1.70
591.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts project FY2027 revenue to grow 19.3% to $325.0M from an estimated $272.5M in FY2026.
  • The stock carries a mean analyst price target of $1.70, which is 591.1% above its last close of $0.25.
  • SunPower delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 59.2% from FY2020 through FY2025.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue dropped 17.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, accompanied by an 87.1% decline in quarterly earnings.
  • The balance sheet shows limited liquidity with $4.1M in cash against $132.0M in total debt and negative equity of -$26.3M.
  • Free cash flow remained negative at -$15.3M in FY2025, while share count increased 382.9% over 5 years.

What SunPower does

SunPower Corporation delivers solar, storage, and home energy solutions primarily across the United States and Canada. Operating across segments including Residential, Light Commercial, and Commercial and Industrial Solutions, the company supplies solar panels, storage solutions, and integrated home energy systems. It distributes products through third-party installers, non-installing dealers, resellers, and an in-house sales team. Offerings include turn-key engineering, procurement, and construction services, power purchase agreements (PPAs), and roof-mounted, carport, or ground-mounted arrays. SunPower also provides post-installation monitoring, maintenance, residential leasing, and third-party inverter sales to project developers, utilities, production home builders, and building owners.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue expanded from $68.8M in FY2021 to $300.0M in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 59.2%. Despite revenue increasing 175.9% in FY2025, SunPower reported an operating margin of -9.0% and a net loss of -$45.4M. The company remained unprofitable across all reported fiscal periods, posting its largest net loss of -$269.6M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $283.1M with an EPS of -$0.33 and a net profit margin of -3.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 17.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 87.1%.

SPWR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, SunPower held $4.1M in cash and short-term investments compared to $132.0M in total debt, creating net debt of $127.9M. The company operates with negative shareholders' equity of -$26.3M and a current ratio of 0.82 out of $250.2M in total assets. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$15.3M, yielding free cash flow of -$15.3M. To support operations, SunPower recorded share issuance of $16.5M in FY2025, while its share count expanded 382.9% over 5 years.

SPWR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

SunPower trades at an enterprise value of $197.3M and a market capitalization of $78.8M. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.3x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 6.1x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 2.8x and 16.6x, respectively. The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.0x. Over the past year, SPWR shares returned -86.7%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock fell 97.5% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark index.

SPWR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Two Wall Street analysts track SunPower, both issuing Strong Buy ratings. The mean price target is $1.70, representing a potential upside of 591.1% from the last close of $0.25 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $272.5M and an EPS of -$0.12. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast revenue to grow 19.3% to $325.0M with an EPS of -$0.14. Over the last four quarters, SunPower met or beat EPS estimates 1 time.

SPWR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Negative shareholders' equity of -$26.3M and a current ratio of 0.82 highlight balance sheet distress.
  • SPWR shares have fallen 84.3% year-to-date and trade 72.9% below their 200-day moving average.
  • The company has posted persistent annual net losses, including -$45.4M in FY2025 and -$269.6M in FY2023.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SPWR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of SunPower Corporation (SPWR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SPWR income statement, SPWR balance sheet, SPWR key metrics, SPWR analyst forecast, SPWR chart. See the SPWR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SPWR AI stock analysis FAQ

Does SunPower Corporation pay a dividend?

No, SunPower Corporation does not pay a dividend.

What is SunPower's net debt?

As of June 30, 2026, SunPower had $132.0M in total debt and $4.1M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $127.9M.

What are analysts' price targets for SPWR stock?

The 2 analysts covering SunPower assign a mean price target of $1.70, compared to its last closing price of $0.25 on October 16, 2026.

How fast has SunPower's revenue grown?

SunPower produced a 5-year revenue CAGR of 59.2% between FY2020 and FY2025, reaching $300.0M in FY2025 before revenue fell 17.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

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