Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) AI Stock Analysis
REPX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRiley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company operating in Texas and New Mexico. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $483.9M in revenue with an operating margin of 52.6%. The stock has gained 87.7% over the past year and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7x.
- Market cap
- $1.06B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $483.9M
- P/E
- 8.7x fwd 5.4x
- 1Y return
- 87.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $46.00 -5.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 94.2% and quarterly earnings jumped 185.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin of 52.6% exceeds the US-listed Energy peer group median operating margin of 28.5%.
- Forward valuation multiples remain low relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 5.4x compared to the US-listed Energy median of 12.7x.
Bear case
- The analyst mean price target of $46.00 sits 5.5% below the recent closing price of $48.68.
- Liquidity metrics show short-term constraints, indicated by a current ratio of 0.45 as of June 30, 2026.
- The company has missed analyst earnings expectations recently, beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
What Riley Exploration Permian does
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. specializes in acquiring, exploring, developing, and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across key regions in Texas and New Mexico. The company maintains a strategic focus on the San Andres Formation, situated as a shelf margin deposit within the Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf of the Permian Basin. Operations are primarily centered within contiguous acreage blocks located in Yoakum County, Texas, designed to optimize extraction and production efficiencies. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, the company applies advanced exploration techniques to develop its portfolio of oil and gas assets.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Riley Exploration Permian grew annual revenue from $151.0M to $392.0M, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 164.3%. Annual net income moved from -$65.7M in FY2021 to $160.8M in FY2025, when net margin reached 41.0%, despite revenue declining 4.4% that year. Operating margin was 36.0% in FY2025 compared to 37.5% in FY2024 and 63.3% in FY2022. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth accelerated to 94.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded by 185.4% year-over-year. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $483.9M with an EPS of $5.62.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Riley Exploration Permian held $20.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $267.5M, resulting in net debt of $246.8M. Total assets stood at $1.27B against shareholders' equity of $633.4M, with a current ratio of 0.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $212.5M and free cash flow was $86.2M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $126.3M in capital expenditures, $33.3M in dividends paid, and $3.2M allocated to share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At $48.68 per share, Riley Exploration Permian has a market capitalization of $1.06B and an enterprise value of $1.15B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.7x and a forward P/E of 5.4x, below the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 15.0x trailing and 12.7x forward. Its EV/EBITDA of 4.1x is also lower than the peer group median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 2.2x sits above the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, REPX gained 87.7%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%.
REPX dividend
Riley Exploration Permian pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.60 per share, representing a 3.29% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 30.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was October 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage tracked includes 2 analysts, consisting of 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target is $46.00, which is 5.5% below the last close of $48.68. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $6.39 on revenue of $579.5M. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project EPS of $8.14 on revenue of $621.3M. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Cash reserves of $20.7M are low relative to total debt of $267.5M and a current ratio of 0.45.
- Annual top-line performance can fluctuate, as shown by revenue falling 4.4% in FY2025 to $392.0M.
- Capital intensity remains significant, with capital expenditures taking up $126.3M of the $212.5M in operating cash flow generated during FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this REPX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: REPX income statement, REPX balance sheet, REPX key metrics, REPX analyst forecast, REPX chart. See the REPX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
REPX AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Riley Exploration Permian pay?
The company pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.60 annually, which equals a dividend yield of 3.29% with a payout ratio of 30.3%.
How fast is Riley Exploration Permian growing?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 94.2% year-over-year and earnings rose 185.4%, while FY2026 consensus revenue estimates stand at $579.5M.
What are analysts forecasting for REPX stock?
Analysts hold 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating with a mean price target of $46.00, while projecting full-year FY2026 EPS of $6.39 and FY2027 EPS of $8.14.
When is Riley Exploration Permian's next earnings report?
Riley Exploration Permian is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026.