Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PSECAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PSEC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company providing capital solutions to middle-market firms. For FY2026, the company generated $639.5M in revenue and $153.7M in net income, supporting an annual dividend yield of 26.25%. However, revenue has registered a 5-year CAGR of -8.9%, and its stock has dropped 29.8% over the past year.

Market cap
$854.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$639.5M
P/E
26.7x
fwd 9.4x
1Y return
-29.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$2.00
25.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow reached $516.3M in FY2026, providing cash generation to support operational commitments.
  • The stock offers an annual dividend yield of 26.25% with 23 consecutive years of dividend payments.
  • Prospect Capital trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.4x against $4.50B in shareholders' equity.

Bear case

  • Revenue has contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -8.9% between FY2021 and FY2026.
  • The sole analyst rating is a Strong Sell, with current fiscal year EPS projected to decline 44.1% to $0.38.
  • The stock has dropped 61.8% over the past 5 years, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What Prospect Capital does

Prospect Capital Corporation operates as a business development company that provides customized financial solutions to middle-market companies across sectors including energy, healthcare, technology, and consumer services. The company participates in mezzanine finance, leveraged buyouts, refinancing, and growth capital. Its investment strategies feature secured debt, senior and subordinated loans, equity investments, collateralized loan obligations, unitranche debt, and multi-family residential real estate. Prospect Capital generally deploys between $10 million and $500 million per transaction, focusing on businesses with EBITDA between $5 million and $150 million and enterprise values between $5 million and $1 billion.

Growth and profitability

Prospect Capital reported FY2026 revenue of $639.5M, rebounding from -$276.8M in FY2025 and $467.4M in FY2024. Net income for FY2026 reached $153.7M with a net margin of 24.0% and EPS of $0.67, compared to a net income of -$469.9M in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue recorded a CAGR of -8.9%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 6.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 78.2% year-over-year. Operating margin for FY2026 stood at 51.0%, while the trailing twelve-month operating margin was 70.3%.

PSEC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Prospect Capital held $43.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.86B, resulting in net debt of $1.82B. Total assets stood at $6.45B against shareholders' equity of $4.50B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 and a current ratio of 0.11. Operating cash flow and free cash flow in FY2026 both totaled $516.3M. In FY2026, capital deployment included $335.5M paid in dividends and $10.9M in share buybacks, while the share count expanded 14.8% over 5 years.

PSEC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Prospect Capital carries a market cap of $854.1M and an enterprise value of $4.22B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 26.7x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, though its forward P/E of 9.4x is below the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-book stands at 0.4x and EV-to-revenue is 17.2x. Over the past year, the stock fell 29.8%, contrasting with a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 benchmark. Over five years, the stock dropped 61.8% while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.

PSEC key metrics →

PSEC dividend

Prospect Capital pays a monthly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.42 per share, yielding 26.25% based on a last close of $1.60. The payout ratio stands at 20.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, dividend growth annualized at -5.6%. The last ex-dividend date was October 28, 2026.

PSEC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 analyst rating, categorized as Strong Sell. The mean price target is $2.00, representing an upside of 25.0% over the last close of $1.60. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $0.38 on revenue of $620.6M. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

PSEC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity risk is highlighted by a current ratio of 0.11 and cash reserves of $43.6M against $1.86B in total debt.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 78.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, signaling short-term earnings volatility.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred, with the share count increasing 14.8% over the past 5 years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PSEC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PSEC income statement, PSEC balance sheet, PSEC key metrics, PSEC analyst forecast, PSEC chart. See the PSEC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PSEC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Prospect Capital's dividend yield and payment schedule?

Prospect Capital pays dividends on a monthly frequency with a forward annual dividend of $0.42, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 26.25%.

What are analysts forecasting for Prospect Capital's fiscal year 2027?

Analysts estimate revenue of $620.6M and an EPS of $0.38 for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, reflecting an expected EPS contraction of 44.1%.

How much debt does Prospect Capital carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held total debt of $1.86B and cash of $43.6M, which results in net debt of $1.82B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41.

When is Prospect Capital reporting its next quarterly earnings?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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