Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) AI Stock Analysis
PENG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPenguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) provides advanced computing, integrated memory, and optimized LED enterprise solutions. In FY2026, the company achieved revenue of $1.73B, reflecting 26.5% annual growth, and generated net income of $180.6M. However, free cash flow shifted to -$163.5M during the same period.
- Market cap
- $2.93B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.73B
- P/E
- 22.0x fwd 12.5x
- 1Y return
- 153.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $85.62 50.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 26.5% in FY2026 to $1.73B, with latest quarterly revenue surging 67.7% year-over-year.
- Profitability recovered strongly to a net margin of 10.4% and net income of $180.6M in FY2026 after losses in prior years.
- The forward P/E ratio of 12.5x sits well below the US-listed Technology peer median of 18.8x.
Bear case
- Operating cash flow dropped to -$151.9M in FY2026, yielding negative free cash flow of -$163.5M.
- Total debt of $846.8M exceeds cash and short-term investments of $647.2M, leaving net debt at $199.6M.
- Short interest represents 18.7% of the float, accompanied by an elevated stock beta of 2.86.
What Penguin Solutions does
Penguin Solutions, Inc. designs, builds, deploys, and manages enterprise solutions across three segments: Advanced Computing, Integrated Memory, and Optimized LED. Its offerings include technical computing hardware, software, and services for core and cloud environments, featuring Penguin Solutions OriginAI for GPU deployment at scale. Under the Stratus brand, it delivers continuous data and application availability. Through SMART Modular Technologies, it supplies DRAM modules, solid-state storage, and integrated memory for data analytics and networking. It also provides Zefr modules, Altus and AMD EPYC based servers, flash memory products, supply chain services, and packaged LED components under the Cree LED brand.
Growth and profitability
For FY2026, Penguin Solutions generated revenue of $1.73B, up 26.5% from $1.37B in FY2025 and recovering from $1.17B in FY2024. Over the five years from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue increased at a compound annual growth rate of 10.4%. Net income reached $180.6M in FY2026 with a net margin of 10.4%, up from $21.6M in FY2025 and net losses of -$52.5M in FY2024 and -$187.5M in FY2023. Gross margin stood at 27.7% in FY2026 compared to 28.8% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 67.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded by 1188.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Penguin Solutions held $647.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $846.8M, resulting in net debt of $199.6M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17 on shareholders' equity of $723.5M. In FY2026, operating cash flow was -$151.9M and capital expenditures were $11.6M, producing free cash flow of -$163.5M. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $86.7M directed to share buybacks, while the share count increased 17.2% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Penguin Solutions carries a market capitalization of $2.93B and an enterprise value of $3.03B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 22.0x, below the 28.1x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its forward P/E of 12.5x is lower than the peer group median of 18.8x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 1.7x compared to the peer median of 2.8x. However, its enterprise value to EBITDA stands at 17.1x, above the peer median of 16.6x. Over the past year, PENG returned 153.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 0 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $85.62, which represents a 50.0% premium over the last close of $57.10. For the fiscal year ending August 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.45B and an EPS of $4.56, representing 58.8% EPS growth. Over the last 4 quarters, Penguin Solutions beat EPS expectations in 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- A shift to negative free cash flow of -$163.5M in FY2026 could constrain liquidity if operational cash generation does not recover.
- Gross margin declined to 27.7% in FY2026 from 28.8% in FY2025 and 29.3% in FY2024.
- High stock volatility is indicated by a beta of 2.86 and a wide 52-week trading range of $16.04 to $89.86.
- The balance sheet carries $846.8M in total debt against shareholders' equity of $723.5M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PENG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PENG income statement, PENG balance sheet, PENG key metrics, PENG analyst forecast, PENG chart. See the PENG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PENG AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Penguin Solutions' revenue and earnings growth in FY2026?
In FY2026, revenue increased 26.5% to $1.73B, while net income rose to $180.6M compared to $21.6M in FY2025. In the final quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 67.7% and quarterly earnings rose 1188.7% year-over-year.
Does Penguin Solutions pay a dividend?
Penguin Solutions does not pay a dividend. In FY2026, capital deployment included $86.7M spent on share buybacks and $11.6M on capital expenditures.
How is Penguin Solutions valued compared to industry peers?
Penguin Solutions trades at a trailing P/E of 22.0x and a forward P/E of 12.5x, compared to the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.7x versus the peer median of 2.8x.
What is the consensus analyst target for PENG?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $85.62, representing a 50.0% upside relative to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $57.10. The ratings consist of 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Sell.